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7 days, from "decapitation" to "blockade": Netanyahu's adventure game, who will be the final winner?
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Beirut, Lebanon, a city filled with the scent of figs and a touch of melancholy, was shaken by a sudden explosion in the early morning of autumn 2023, and the news spread like wildfire: a senior commander of Lebanon's Allah party was "decapitated" in a precise Israel airstrike
The incident quickly fermented, the international community was in an uproar, condemnation, questioning, worry, and various voices were intertwined, pushing the Middle East, a land full of gunpowder, to an even more dangerous brink
Netanyahu's "adventure game": an elaborate "decapitation" operation
Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, a political veteran, once again showed his decisive and tough political skills, according to British media reports, on the day of the "beheading" operation, he was attending the United Nations General Assembly in New York, this time difference was interpreted as a well-designed "blinding", aimed at confusing Allah, making it relax its vigilance, and create favorable opportunities for Israel's military action
For Israel, the "decapitation" operation is by no means a simple military strike, but also a well-planned political gamble
This move is intended to severely damage Allah and weaken its political and military influence in Lebanon and even the Middle East, Allah has long been regarded as Israel's henchman, its strong military strength and staunch anti-Israeli stance have always made Israel like a fish in the throat, through the "decapitation" operation, Israel is trying to militarily attack the effective force of Allah, break its will to resist, so as to take the initiative in the future game
Israel move is also intended to show the international community, especially the United States, its tough posture and military strength, and to gain more bargaining chips for its tough stance on the Palestinian-Israeli issue, for a long time, United States has been the Israel's staunchest ally, providing it with huge military aid and diplomatic support, in recent years, with the shift of United States strategic focus and the Palestinian-Israeli peace process has reached a stalemate, the United States and Israel relations have undergone subtle changes, Israel hope that through this action, to United States prove its importance and irreplaceability in the Middle East, Thus consolidating the U.S.-Israel alliance
Can Netanyahu's "adventure game" really go his way?
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The "retaliation" of the Houthis: hypersonic missiles are directed at Tel Aviv
The answer was soon revealed, and on the seventh day after the "decapitation" operation, the Yemen Houthis, the armed group that has long been enemies of Israel, responded with a thunderbolt, a hypersonic missile that pierced the night sky and went straight to Tel Aviv's Ben-Gurion International Airport, the heart of Israel
Although the missile was eventually successfully intercepted by Israel's "Iron Dome" defense system, the shock wave it brought went far beyond the military level
The Houthis' retaliatory actions show that the "beheading" operation did not achieve Israel's expected strategic goals, and Allah did not give in because of this, but aroused a stronger will to resist, and more importantly, Israel's military adventure pushed the already volatile Middle East situation to an even more dangerous edge
In recent years, with the support of Iran, the Houthis' weapons and combat capabilities have been significantly improved, and their missile range has covered the entire territory of Israel, and this hypersonic missile attack has shown the world that the Houthis have the ability to pose a substantial threat to Israel
More worryingly, the Houthis have made it clear that this is only the beginning and that retaliatory actions against Israel will continue in the future until Israel stops its "aggressions" against Gaza and Lebanon
Russia's involvement: P-800 Onyx anti-ship missiles, who will control the Red Sea?
Just as Israel is tired of dealing with the Houthis' retaliation, a new variable has added a few more variables to this complex chess game, according to British media reports, Russia may be secretly assisting the Houthis and planning to provide them with more advanced P-800 "Onyx" anti-ship missiles
The picture comes from the Internet
The P-800 Onyx anti-ship missile, with a range of up to 600 kilometers, a flight speed of up to Mach 3, and the ability to fly at low altitude and change orbit to penetrate defenses, is a formidable "aircraft carrier killer", once the Houthis obtain this missile, it will have a profound impact on the strategic pattern of Israel and the entire Middle East region
The Houthis will be able to effectively block the Red Sea, an important sea route connecting the Eastern Mediterranean and the India Ocean, and ships heading south from the Eastern Mediterranean or north from the India Ocean will face great risks, which is undoubtedly a fatal blow to Israel, which relies heavily on maritime transportation
The acquisition of P-800 missiles by the Houthis will also pose a serious challenge to the United States's military presence in the Middle East, for a long time, the United States Navy has deployed a powerful aircraft carrier battle group in the Middle East to safeguard its interests and influence in the region, and the appearance of P-800 missiles will force the US aircraft carrier to move away from the Houthi-controlled area, thereby weakening the United States's military superiority in the Middle East
Although it is not yet possible to confirm the authenticity of Russia's supply of P-800 missiles to the Houthis, this news is enough to cause Western countries to be vigilant, in recent years, with the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis, Russia's relations with Western countries have fallen to the freezing point, in the Middle East, Russia is also actively expanding its influence, maintaining close cooperation with Iran, Syria and other countries, if Russia really provides P-800 missiles to the Houthis, it will undoubtedly further exacerbate tensions in the Middle East, and poses a serious challenge to the interests of Western countries
The situation in the Middle East: With the clouds of war looming, who will emerge victorious?
Netanyahu's "adventure game", originally intended to fight Allah and consolidate Israel's regional hegemony, unexpectedly triggered a series of chain reactions, with the Houthi retaliation and Russia's intervention making the situation in the Middle East more complicated and unpredictable
In this intricate game, there is no winner, Israel's military adventure, not only did not achieve the expected goal, but put itself in a greater security dilemma, although the Houthis showed a strong ability to retaliate, but also put themselves in a more dangerous situation, and Russia's intervention made the situation in the Middle East more confusing
Peace is the common aspiration of the people of the Middle East, and in the face of realistic interests and hatred, the road to peace is particularly long and tortuous
Where will Netanyahu's adventure game end up? When will true peace usher in the war-torn Middle East? Perhaps, only time will tell
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