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Recently, the results of the presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party in Japan have been released, and Shigeru Ishiba, who was not widely favored before, won the counterattack.
In fact, the new Japan prime minister's attitude towards China has long been exposed, but China still expresses our expectations to the incoming new Japan prime minister. So what's going on here? How will the diplomatic relations between China and Japan develop in the future?
Counterattack with the times
It is indeed very difficult for Shigeru Ishiba to become the president of the Liberal Democratic Party and even take over the position of Japan's prime minister soon after. Shigeru Ishiba has been in Japan politics for many years, and he has more than once launched a charge to the top of the LDP, but each time he has failed.
In order to be able to obtain a higher political status and become a big man in the Liberal Democratic Party, Shigeru Ishiba even dressed up as an anime character to participate in public events.
Shigeru Ishiba did hold quite a few positions in Japan politics. After graduating from university, Shigeru Ishiba first worked as a clerk at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation for a while, and finally entered politics in the early 80s with the full support of his father.
At the beginning, he was elected to the House of Representatives of a certain county, and then he served a full ten terms in that position. Since the 90s, Shigeru Ishiba has switched back and forth between multiple political parties in Japan, from fighting for the LDP at the beginning, to joining the Shinnai Party, and later returning to the LDP.
Finally, in 2002, he entered the Japan government for the first time as a cabinet position. Although he started out as a relatively low-ranking minister like the Minister of Agriculture and Fisheries, he was a senior cabinet official.
In the end, he was reused during the Shinzo Abe era, serving as secretary general of the ruling party and the Liberal Democratic Party, and as a special minister in the Abe cabinet.
But Ishiba Shigeru is not willing to live under the people for a long time, and there are some contradictions between him and Abe, and he even thinks that he can replace Abe, so Ishiba Shigeru has participated in the LDP presidential election several times, but none of them have been successful.
This is mainly because the LDP is a relatively closed party, and there were many factions within the LDP, and these small political gatekeepers held great power and could even influence the politics of the entire LDP.
In recent years, some changes have taken place, the first of which is the assassination of Shinzo Abe, which has basically disappeared from the Abe faction, which is currently more influential in the Liberal Democratic Party.
Later, the notorious black gold incident broke out, and now many members of the Liberal Democratic Party have been accused of serving their own gate valves, and even embezzling and accepting bribes, which eventually caused the door valve of the Liberal Democratic Party to fall apart.
This instead gave Shigeru Ishiba, an originally marginalized figure, a chance, and gave him a certain possibility to pursue the supreme power of the Liberal Democratic Party, and then there was Fumio Kishida's resignation and Shigeru Ishiba's comeback again, announcing that he would participate in the presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party.
And Shi Pomao's coming to power is not necessarily a good thing for China, because Shi Pomao himself has long expressed a political attitude that is not very friendly to China.
Shigeru Ishiba is a typical right-wing politician
Ishibashiu's coming to power may mean that relations between China and Japan may deteriorate further, which is related to Ishibashi's political leanings.
Shi Po Shigeru is a typical right-wing politician, and is a relatively radical right-wing politician, Shi Po Mao has visited Taiwan before, and Shi Po Mao also has his own ideas in military strategy.
He believes that an Asian version of NATO should be attempted, and this idea can be said to coincide with United States strategy. In recent years, Sino-US relations have deteriorated to a certain extent, and United States have been pushing NATO deeper into the Asia-Pacific region.
When the NATO summit was held in the past, under the influence of United States, countries in the Asia-Pacific region such as Japan, Korea, Australia, and New Zealand also sent representatives to attend the summit.
However, as far as Asia-Pacific countries are concerned, there are some differences on whether to promote NATO's Asia-Pacific orientation and how to promote NATO's Asia-Pacific orientation.
Now the existence of Shi Po Shigeru means that the possibility of the establishment of an Asian version of NATO has increased significantly, and then the military forces of the United States and Western countries will be more effectively integrated around the continent.
At that time, we will not only face United States, but also Japan, Korea, and even the Philippines.
At the same time, after Ishiba Shigeru comes to power, I am afraid that he will also lead Japan's Self-Defense Forces to continue to expand its military, because Ishiba Shigeru is also one of the main advocates of lifting the ban on the right of collective self-defense, amending the pacifist constitution, and strengthening the combat capability of the Self-Defense Forces.
Even Ishiba Shigeru once claimed in public that he was considering promoting the upgrading of the US-Japan alliance and turning the bilateral military cooperation agreement that was originally led by United States into a new military cooperation agreement in which the two sides stood in the same trench and cooperated with each other, were equal to each other, and respected each other.
He even said that Japan's Self-Defense Forces are also considering stationing troops in the United States, so once Ishiba Shigeru ascends to the throne of Japan's prime minister, he will expand his military even more frantically.
Even if Ishiba Shigeru is politically reluctant to confront China head-on, as long as Japan's military power expands, it will inevitably pose a threat. This is mainly because after the end of World War II, Japan did not completely clear the fascist ideology, and Japan's anti-war work was not as thorough as Germany's.
Even now, Japan politicians have repeatedly visited the Yasukuni Shrine, where Japanese soldiers died in World War II. The right-wing forces in Japan have also clearly raised their heads in recent years, so once Japan expands its military at this time, perhaps Japan may once again move towards the road of militarism.
And China, as one of the countries that suffered the most from Japan's aggression, naturally cannot sit idly by and ignore this matter. I also believe that apart from China, some other countries in the Asia-Pacific region, especially those that have also been invaded, will probably not sit idly by.
China has responded unequivocally
After the election results of Japan were released, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs also responded, adding up to only a dozen words, that is, the election results are Japan's internal affairs, and China will not comment on this.
This fully demonstrates China's attitude towards Japan's election results, and China does not believe that Japan's election results will bring about any major changes in the regional situation.
At the same time, China also has due respect for Japan, but it also hopes that Japan will not go further and further down the wrong path. China also hopes that Japan will learn from history and adhere to the path of peaceful development, and Japan's politicians should adopt a correct attitude and adopt a rational and objective policy toward China.
Although war broke out between China and Japan, in the 70s of the last century, after China's reform and opening up, Japan gave China a lot of investment, and China and Japan also had some technical and cultural exchanges.
At that time, Sino-Japanese relations could be called a golden period, and although some changes took place in the relations between the two countries due to various reasons, China and Japan were still highly complementary in many fields such as economy and trade.
Japan is now one of the world's first-class technological countries, and China is an industrial power, so some advanced technologies from Japan are still valuable to China.
At the same time, China's manufacturing industry can help Japan's various scientific and technological achievements to land quickly and create economic value, which is not a typical complementarity?
What's more, historically speaking, Japan has been influenced by Chinese culture for a long time in history, and until now, there are still many Japanese who have a deep understanding of Chinese culture.
Moreover, China and Japan are also East Asian countries, and the two sides are still geopolitical neighbors, so it is more valuable for China and Japan to cooperate to build a new international consensus and promote the overall development of the East Asian region than to confront each other and play games with each other.
But today's China's industrial scale and industrial production capacity are several times that of Japan, and China also has the autonomy of advanced military technology. Japan research and development of advanced technology, it has to be supported by United States, but China can rely on itself, so how big the gap is, presumably Japan people also know in their hearts.
epilogue
Japan's domestic political situation can be said to have changed abruptly, in terms of some of Ishibashigeru's previous actions, he is actually more radical than those ostensibly hawks, and it is indeed possible that it will continue to push Japan to strengthen military cooperation with other United States and Western countries.
Therefore, although we expressed our expectations for Japan at the first time, we still need to make preparations. If Sino-Japanese relations deteriorate further in the future, the mainland should be prepared to defend its national interests.
Resources:
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