I. Overview of Iran's missile attack on Israel
At a time when the international situation is changing, Iran's missile attack on Israel is like a bombshell detonating in the Middle East. According to a RIA Novosti report on October 2, late on the night of the 1st, Iran fired a large number of missiles at Israel, targeting three military bases near Tel Aviv. This action was completely unexpected by many people, after all, Iran had previously stressed that "it will not send troops to Lebanon", but this time it directly slapped Israel with this tough military means.
When the missiles hit, air defense sirens sounded in many parts of Israel, and the military asked people to take shelter. As you can imagine, in the middle of the night, sirens pierce the night sky, people wake up from their slumber and rush to shelters in a panic, and the whole city is enveloped in an atmosphere of tension and fear.
Second, an analysis of several key points in the Iran attack
1. The intensity and results of Iran's strike
Regarding the number of missiles launched by Iran, the Israel media and the Iran media have different accounts. Israel media said Iran fired about 400 missiles, while Israel officials said about 180, and said that most of them were intercepted and no casualties were reported. But Iran media said Iran missiles destroyed 20 Israel F-35 fighters, and at least 80 percent of the missiles in the first round of military strikes hit targets, targeting important Israel military facilities.
Behind this huge difference in data reflects the game of public opinion between the two sides. If Iran puts it, this is undoubtedly a major blow to Israel's military power. Moreover, Iran used the "Fatah" hypersonic missile, which can carry a 1500-kilogram warhead, can accurately hit Tel Aviv in 400 seconds, and successfully hit the opponent's radar.
This shows Iran's progress in military technology and its determination to retaliate. Iran made it clear that this was a counterattack to the bombing of Haniyeh, Nasrallah and the killing of Iran officers, and warned that Israel would be devastating if it fought back.
2. The reaction of various forces
Iran's Raids and Intelligence Disclosures: Iran's retaliation this time was unlike any in the past, appearing to launch a surprise attack without first informing United States allies. However, the United States and Israel received the information in advance.
The United States informed Israel of Iran's readiness to retaliate with ballistic missiles before Iran launched its missiles, and Israel's Defense Ministry said it was taking Iran's missile threat seriously. This shows that in terms of intelligence warfare, although Iran tries to surprise, the intelligence sharing mechanism between the United States and Israel also plays a role.
United States Response: The United States took a tough stance, and before the Iran attack, the United States urgently increased its troops in the Middle East and issued an ultimatum to Iran, warning of serious consequences for Iran's retaliation against Israel.
Immediately after the Iran attack, the United States joined the operation to intercept Iran's missiles, called on the world to condemn Iran, and threatened new sanctions against Iran. United States did this on the one hand to safeguard the interests of its ally Israel, and on the other hand, to demonstrate its hegemony in the Middle East.
Reaction of other forces: On the day of Iran's retaliation, Allah, Iraq's pro-Iran forces, and Houthis all launched attacks on Israel targets, and Hamas expressed support for Iran's actions as a response to Israel's aggression against Palestine and Lebanon.
Iraq's pro-Iran forces also warned United States that U.S. military bases in Iraq would be targeted if United States participated in countering Iran or used Iraq's airspace. This shows that Iran has a group of allies in the Middle East, and they are on the side of Iran in the confrontation between Iran and Israel, forming a joint confrontation posture of regional forces.
3. Israel's possible follow-up reaction
Israel will certainly not swallow its words. While acknowledging that many places have been bombed, Israel has made it clear that Iran's large-scale retaliation will lead to serious consequences. Historically, Israel is likely to retaliate violently against Iran and its allies, Allah and Iran will face tough challenges from Israel, and United States will provide Israel with substantial military assistance.
This cycle of responding to military attacks with military retaliation is not the first time in the Middle East, and each such cycle has increased tensions in the region.
4. The uncertainty of United States' attitude
United States attitude is the biggest uncertainty in the whole affair. United States has always been a key force in keeping Iran in the trap. If United States were to take full part in retaliation against Iran, Iran would inevitably suffer significant losses. Before Iran retaliated against Israel, Russia strongly condemned Israel's invasion of Lebanon, demanded that Israel withdraw its troops, and promised to join forces with Iran against United States. This makes United States have to consider Russia when intervening in the Iran-Israel conflict, after all, Russia also has significant influence in the Middle East.
3. The contradictions behind the incident and the focus of public attention
1. Military conflicts and international order
The military conflict between Iran and Israel is not just a matter between two countries, it involves the maintenance of the international order. The United Nations certainly does not want to see such a conflict escalate, as it would bring chaos and instability to the region. Such military conflicts violate international principles for the peaceful settlement of disputes, but both sides have their own so-called "justifications".
Iran is in retaliation for Israel's attacks on its officers and others, and Israel may retaliate on the grounds that its own security is threatened. This contradiction has sparked extensive discussion in the international community: how to find a balance between respecting national sovereignty and maintaining international peace?
2. Reshuffle and game of regional forces
This incident also reflects the reshuffle of power in the Middle East. Through this military operation, Iran demonstrated its military capabilities and formed a joint posture against Israel and United States with Allah, pro-Iran forces in Iraq, and the Houthis.
In order to maintain its hegemonic position in the Middle East, the United States will inevitably take measures to deal with this situation. Russia's involvement has also complicated the situation, and the game between various forces in the Middle East is related to the direction of the region's political, economic and military patterns. For example, United States' troop surge and threat of sanctions, and the counter-attack posture of Iran and its allies, are changing the original balance of power in the Middle East.
3. Truth search in public opinion warfare
The differing accounts of Iran and Israel in the aftermath of the missile attacks have left the public in a difficult position to find the truth. In modern warfare, the war of public opinion is also an important battlefield. Both sides may exaggerate or downplay the gains for their own strategic purposes.
It is difficult for the public to judge exactly how effective Iran's missile strikes were, whether they were mostly intercepted, as Israel claims, or whether they achieved significant results as Iran claimed. This kind of opaque information and the information game between the two sides is one of the focuses of public attention and discussion.
Fourth, a relaxed discussion from the perspective of the type of popular discussion
In the age of the Internet, such international military incidents tend to become a hot topic of public discussion. It can be seen from some popular military forums or social media that netizens have very heated discussions.
Some netizens will discuss from the perspective of military technology, such as Iran's "Fatah" hypersonic missile. They will analyze the performance parameters of this missile, compare it with similar missiles in other countries, and guess the impact of this missile on the future military situation. Some netizens will analyze the military strategies of Iran and Israel, discuss the pros and cons of Iran's surprise attack, and Israel's possible counterattack strategy.
In addition, some netizens will ridicule from a geopolitical perspective, such as comparing the Middle East to a "big chess game", where various countries and forces are chess players. United States is the great power that wants to control the chess game, but Iran and its allies are constantly disrupting the United States layout. Although this kind of light-hearted ridicule cannot completely accurately describe the complex international situation, it reflects an intuitive understanding of international politics by the public.
From the point of view of popular mainstream values, peace is what everyone expects. Although many netizens are interested in military incidents, they also hope to resolve disputes through peaceful means such as diplomacy and negotiations.
In the conflict between Iran and Israel, it is hoped that both sides will calm down and take into account the peace and stability of the region and the lives of innocent people. The international community should also play an active role in promoting dialogue between the two sides to resolve their differences, rather than allowing the military conflict to escalate, resulting in more destruction and casualties.
In short, Iran's missile attack on Israel has sparked attention and discussion from many sides, from military, political to social. The follow-up development of this incident is still full of uncertainties, and the next actions of the Iran, the Israel, and the United States will have a far-reaching impact on the Middle East region and the entire international situation.