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Three figures reveal the surprising truth about United States' China strategy: order, competition, and fear
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In recent years, the United States has been constantly adjusting its China policy, from "engagement" to "strategic competition" and then to "systemic competition". Blinken, a "veteran" of United States politics, may be able to unravel the mystery for us in a speech on the eve of stepping down as secretary of state
"China is the only country that can change the current world order," Blinken said, this seemingly bland sentence is like a stone stirring up a thousand waves, pushing Sino-US relations to the cusp of public opinion, which implies the three key words of United States' China strategy: order, competition, and fear
Blinken: The big truth about spitting lotus flowers
In January 2023, Blinken, who is about to step down as United States Secretary of State, made a rare "high evaluation" of China in a public speech, saying that China is "the only country that has both the ability and the willingness to change the international order", which caused an uproar in the international community and made the world pay more attention to the direction of the United States' China strategy
Blinken's speech is not groundless, since the Obama administration put forward the "return to the Asia-Pacific" strategy, United States has undergone subtle changes in China's strategic positioning, the Trump administration regards China as a "strategic competitor", launched a series of repressive actions such as trade wars and technology wars, after the Biden administration took office, although it has eased up in rhetoric, it has continued to take a hard line on China in action, and tried to unite allies to contain China
Blinken's speech is actually a continuation of United States' strategic shift toward China, as well as anxiety and fear about China's rise
Guardians of Order: The Three Key Words of United States' China Strategy
After the end of World War II, United States led the establishment of the international order with the United Nations at its core and the international economic order based on the Bretton Woods system United States.United States
With the continuous improvement of China's comprehensive national strength, China's influence in international affairs is also increasing, and China's active participation in UN peacekeeping operations, advocating the building of a community with a shared future for mankind, and promoting the construction of the "Belt and Road" are all regarded by United States as a challenge to the international order dominated by China
United States From the Obama administration's "Asia-Pacific rebalance" strategy, to the Trump administration's trade war, technology war, and Biden administration's "Indo-Pacific strategy", United States have always regarded China as their main competitor
In the economic field, the United States launched a trade war against China in an attempt to contain China's economic development; In the field of science and technology, the United States imposed a technological blockade on China to suppress Chinese high-tech enterprises; In the military field, United States has strengthened its military deployment in the Asia-Pacific region in an attempt to form a military deterrent against China
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Fear is the deep-seated motive of United States' strategy toward China, and United States' fear of China has both realistic considerations and historical shadows
At the practical level, the rapid development of China's economy, the continuous enhancement of scientific and technological strength, and the continuous improvement of military strength have made the United States feel unprecedented pressure, and China's rise has challenged United States's hegemony in the world, which United States cannot tolerate
At the historical level, United States's fear of China also stems from a "Thucydides trap" psychology, "Thucydides trap" refers to the rise of an emerging power, which will inevitably challenge the interests of existing powers, and eventually lead to the outbreak of war, United States is worried that China will eventually challenge United States's hegemony and even go to war with United States like an emerging power in history
The focus of competition: science and technology, finance, society
The competition in United States' China strategy is not all-round and indiscriminate, but concentrated in areas that have a decisive impact on the future world pattern, of which science and technology, finance, and society are the three major focuses
Science and technology: Scientific and technological innovation is a key variable that determines the fate of the country and is also the focus of Sino-US competition, United States has been trying to maintain a leading edge over China in the field of science and technology, and has taken a series of measures to suppress Chinese high-tech enterprises, such as imposing sanctions on Huawei, ZTE and other companies, restricting the export of high-tech products to China, etc
China's progress in science and technology is obvious to all, and China has been at the forefront of the world in 5G, artificial intelligence, quantum computing and other fields, which makes United States even more anxious and fearful
Financial field: Finance is the core of the modern economy and an important manifestation of national strength, and the United States has long occupied a dominant position in the international financial field by virtue of the hegemony of the dollar
In recent years, China has actively promoted the internationalization of the renminbi and established multilateral financial institutions such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and the New Development Bank of the BRICS countries, which is seen by the United States as a challenge to its financial hegemony
Social sphere: Social institutions and ideologies are important components of national soft power, and the United States has been trying to promote its values globally and carry out ideological infiltration of China
In recent years, China's influence in the international community has expanded, and the Chinese model and Chinese path have attracted more and more attention from developing countries, which makes United States even more uneasy
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The Roots of Fear: Why is United States Afraid of China's Rise?
United States fear of China is rooted in its hegemonic mentality and Cold War mentality, and for a long time, United States has been accustomed to dictating in the world, and any country that challenges its hegemonic status will be suppressed by United States
China adheres to the path of peaceful development, but the United States has always looked at China through colored glasses and regarded China as an "imaginary enemy", and the United States has constantly played up the "China threat theory" in an attempt to isolate China in the international community and contain China's development
United States's fear of China also stems from its lack of confidence in its own system and development model, and the success of the path of socialism with Chinese characteristics has made United States feel a deep sense of crisis, and United States is worried that China's development model will pose a challenge to the Western capitalist system, and even eventually replace the Western capitalist system
United States fear of China also stems from their misjudgment of the future direction of Sino-US relations, United States some politicians erroneously believe that China and the United States will inevitably fall into the "Thucydides trap" and eventually break out into conflict or even war, and this erroneous perception will only intensify the confrontation between China and the United States and is not conducive to the healthy development of bilateral relations
U.S.-China Relations: Where Are We Heading Forward?
China-US relations are the most important bilateral relations in the world today, and their development trend has a bearing not only on the well-being of the two peoples, but also on world peace and development
China and the United States have extensive common interests and room for cooperation, and the two sides should strengthen dialogue and communication, enhance mutual understanding, properly manage differences, and promote the healthy and stable development of China-US relations
China and the United States should abandon the Cold War mentality and the old thinking of a zero-sum game, look at each other with a more open and inclusive attitude, and jointly build a new type of major-country relationship
We believe that as long as the Chinese and American peoples work together, we will certainly be able to overcome all kinds of difficulties and obstacles on the way forward and create a better future for China-US relations
How do you see the shift in United States' strategy toward China? Where do you think U.S.-China relations are headed in the future? Feel free to leave a message in the comment area to share your views
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