In terms of long-range attacks, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine confirmed that the use of American-made ATACMS tactical ballistic missiles had just hit an oil depot about 115 kilometers from the front line, which is located near Rovenki, Luhansk Oblast (48.0942280, 39.3611910), because it is not on Russia's territory, so the Ukrainian army can launch American-made tactical ballistic missile attacks without violating Washington's restrictions on use.
This also shows once again that even though the State Duma of Russia has passed legislation to annex Crimea and the four regions of eastern Ukraine to Russia, the Kremlin actually does not really regard these places as Ukraine territory, and most countries in the world do not recognize these places as belonging to Russia, but to Ukraine, and the Kremlin understands and is weak.
In addition, the fire at the Feodosia oil terminal in Crimea, where a fire and explosion occurred after the previous hit, has finally been extinguished, and satellite photos show that at least 10 oil storage tanks of this large oil depot have been completely destroyed, 6 have been seriously damaged, and most of the oil storage facilities have become unusable. With the destruction of this large oil terminal, the supply of fuel to the Russian army in Crimea has become more difficult, and even affected the operation of the Russian army on the southern front.
On the battlefield, the area of most concern at the moment is still Kursk, and the information about Kursk is more complicated, and most of the information is difficult to verify, which shows that both Russian and Ukrainian armies are attacking and each has made progress.
Here, we only talk about the information from the Russia side, the relevant information comes from Russia social media, claiming that the Russian army surrounded the Ukraine army in Lubimovka and Tostilug, and even claimed that the surrounded Russian army had two battalions, but this information is not confirmed by any visual evidence, and we have not seen authoritative media or think tank mentions, but it is certain that the Russian army, including the 155th Marine Brigade and the 810th Marine Brigade, has intensified counteroffensive operations in relevant areas.
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) also noted the counteroffensive launched by the Russian army in Kursk, claiming that there was information that the Russian army had recaptured the Ukrainian salient in Glushkovo, but also stressed that the news had not been confirmed; "Institute for the Study of War" believes that the Russian army is trying to take advantage of the last good weather in autumn and early winter to strengthen the counteroffensive and completely drive the Ukrainian army out of Kursk, so as to be able to concentrate on continuing to strengthen the offensive in Donetsk and relieve the pressure brought by the Ukrainian army's "invasion" to the entire battlefield.
Although many unconfirmed information shows that the situation of the Ukrainian army in Kursk is unfavorable, but Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky, who has just returned from an intensive foreign trip, praised the performance of the Ukrainian army in Kursk in his latest video speech, and said that he has discussed the situation on the front line and the military operation in Kursk with the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, General Syrsky, "Regarding the Kursk operation, Russia has tried to attack our positions, but we have held certain defensive lines." ”
Zelensky also praised the Ukrainian army holding in the Pokrovsk direction and stressed the importance of every Ukraine serviceman in the battle to defend the territory of Ukraine, "The situation in the Donetsk and Zaporozhye directions is very difficult, the enemy's actions are very intense, but the resilience of our troops is the decisive factor, everything depends on our persistence." ”
In the intelligence briefing on the situation in Ukraine released by the United Kingdom Ministry of Defense on October 11, it was pointed out that Avdiivka-Pokrovsk may still be the main direction of the Russian army's offensive in the future, and the Russian army has launched frequent offensives in the past week to try to create conditions for continuing the offensive on Pokrovsk, and the Russian army has partially surrounded the outlying town of Selidovo and may take the town in a few weeks;
In other areas, Russian troops have advanced into the center of the town of Toretsk, but progress has been slow and has been frequently counterattacked by Ukrainian forces; After taking Vuhledar, the Russian army seems to have suspended its offensive here, with little progress; In Zaporozhye, there are signs that the Russian army is likely to restart offensive operations here, and previously, some Ukrainian army officers believed that the Russian army would focus on attacking Zaporozhye next.
After reading the above information, readers may think that the Russian army is still on the offensive as a whole, however, some information from the Russia "Telegram" channel shows that the Ukrainian army is likely to be preparing to launch a counterattack, on the grounds that the activities of Ukraine artillery continue to increase, and the Ukraine "Great Powers" friends are very committed to the supply of ammunition and have provided Ukraine with a large amount of ammunition, including ground-attack missiles.
This is a departure from the tone of the Ukraine government, Ukraine which has been emphasizing the delay in military aid from Western partners, but in recent times, public reports have indeed shown that large quantities of weapons and ammunition have been sent to Ukraine, and Germany and other countries are also stepping up military aid, and more military aid and other moves are expected at the NATO defense ministers' meeting and the "Ramstein Group" meeting next week, including the possible lifting of some restrictions on the use of Western missiles by Ukraine forces to strike Russia territory.