Belgium VS France
Cup: 2024-2025 UEFA Nations League
The UEFA Nations League will be played in the following format
1. The 55 teams are divided into 4 levels of ABCD according to their rankings. The grading criteria for the first edition were based on the points ranking of the UEFA associations.
2. The tournament will be held in even-numbered years, and the tournament will be played until the finals of the second year.
3. The league adopts a relegation system: the bottom 4 teams of the A, B and C leagues will be relegated, and the 4 groups of champions of the B, C and D leagues will be promoted.
4. There will be 4 places in the UEFA Nations League to qualify for the finals of the European Football Championship.
UEFA Nations League 2:45 Belgium VS France Venue: Dendrif Stadium Weather: Cloudy Temperature: 10°C~11°C
Belgium (home team) has 23 players, the whole team is worth €483.25m, the average age is 24.6 years, and the FIFA world ranking: 6th.
Record in the last 6 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 14 goals scored in the last 10 games, 9 goals conceded, and 5 goal difference.
Group standings: 3 matches, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, 4 points, ranked 3rd in the group.
Home results: 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
Personnel situation: No main players have been injured or suspended, and the lineup is complete.
Belgium played well in the recently concluded UEFA Nations League match with striker Leandro Trossard, scoring a goal and setting up a team-mate to help Belgium hold Italy to a 2-2 draw.
Belgium captain and midfield core De Bruyne and all-time goalscorer Romelu Lukaku are absent from the squad, which has had a big impact on the team's strength on paper.
Team spirit: Belgium are currently third in the group with four points, ahead of Italy and France, and if the team wants to compete for group qualification, they will need to go all out to get points in this game.
Team update: Belgium are currently on a four-game winning streak in all competitions at home and are in excellent home form.
Belgium currently have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss in the group stage, and their overall performance is measurable.
Belgium scored five goals and conceded five goals in three UEFA Nations League group games, with a good attacking performance but inconsistent defence.
Belgium VS France
France (away) has 23 players, the team is worth €1060m, the average age is 26, and the FIFA world ranking: 2nd.
Record in the last 6 games: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 11 goals scored in the last 10 games, 7 goals conceded, and 4 goal difference.
Group standings: 3 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, 6 points, ranked 2nd in the group.
Away results: 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
Personnel situation: No main players have been injured or suspended, and the lineup is complete.
France beat Israel 4-1 in a recent UEFA Nations League match, with two midfielders, Camavinga and Guendouzi, both playing well.
France's current squad is dominated by young players such as Tchouameni and Saliba, the previous core of the team Griezmann has withdrawn from the national team, and the number one star Mbappe has not been called up due to physical reasons, and the entire team has relatively little experience in international competitions.
Team spirit: France are currently second in the group with six points, just one point away from group leaders Italy, and will be fighting for the top spot in the group.
Team update: France beat Israel 4-1 in the recently concluded UEFA Nations League match, winning two consecutive group stage wins, and the team is in excellent form.
France have scored seven goals in three group games so far, and the offensive performance is still very good.
France have struggled defensively in the group stage, conceding four goals in three games so far, and three times against Italy.
Recent historical meetings between the two teams: The two teams have met three times in the last five years, and France have won all three games, occupying the absolute upper hand.
The same handicap aspect: Initial handicap: the home team let the draw, the home team has the same handicap trend in the last 6 games as this game: win win lose win lose, win and go, and the away team has the same handicap trend in the last 6 games as this game: lose lose win win.
Belgium VS France
Pre-Match Briefing:
European powerhouses Belgium and France will face off in a spectacular match in the UEFA Nations League at the Roy · Baudouin Stadium in Brussels on Monday night. The Red Devils Belgium are currently third in Group A Group 2, while France are second behind group leaders Italy.
In the first leg of last month's meeting at the Grupma Stadium, France won 2-0 thanks to goals from Paris Saint-Germain's striker pair Randal · Kolo· Muani and Ousmane · Dembele. The victory extended France's winning streak against Belgium to four, which began in June 2015.
Despite home advantage, Belgium are seen as underdogs in this game. However, can they unexpectedly end their losing streak against France? Let's take a look at some of the key stats from the game.
Belgium stubbornly levelled Italy from a two-goal deficit at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome last week to keep their group hopes alive. The draw took Belgium to four points in the table after beating Israel 3-1 in the first round and losing to France in the second round.
Despite last month's defeat to France, the 'Red Devils' good form at home may have given them confidence, as they have won five in a row before this game. Belgium are unbeaten in their last eight home matches, keeping five clean sheets.
France, on the other hand, is gradually recovering its form after losing 1-3 to Italy in the first round, winning consecutive rounds 2 and 3 and currently only one point behind Italy. After a 2-0 win over Belgium last month, France came out strong against Israel last week, winning 4-1 with four players scoring a goal each.
The result extended France's unbeaten run on the road to three games, having suffered just one defeat in their last six matches, a friendly defeat to Germany in September last year.
Ahead of this international break, France fans were concerned about the attacking ability of Kylian · Mbappe in his absence. However, Randal · Kolo · Muani emerged as a qualified replacement, scoring against Belgium last month and assisting for the opening goal against Israel last week.
Matteo · Guendouzi made an impact almost immediately after coming off the bench last week, scoring a third goal and assisting a fourth, so the Lazio midfielder could be fighting for a starting spot this week. Bradley · Barcola is France's top scorer in this tournament, scoring two goals in three games.
In the Belgium, with Romelu · Romelu out of the game, Lois · Orpenda have started all three games in the tournament but have provided just one assist, providing assists for Youri · Tielemans in their opening game. After Oppenda's relatively lackluster performance against Italy, managers Domenico · Tedesco may make changes up front, which could see Cyril · Ngonger in the starting line-up.
Belgium manager Domenico · Tedesco have not had any injury concerns coming into this game and have a full squad.
Belgium are expected to adopt a 3-4-2-1 formation and could start the following line-ups: Cohen· Castells, Zeno· Debaste, Wout· Faes, Arthur · Teat, Timothy· Castagne, Maxim· De Cuyper, Youri · Tielemans, Aurel· Mangala, Jeremy· Doku, Leandro· Trossard and Icoma· Lois· Oppenda.
France manager Didier · Deschamps also has a full squad.
France are expected to adopt a 4-3-3 formation, with the starters including: Mike · Maignan, Jules · Kounde, Ibrahima· Konat, Willem · Saliba, Theo · Hernandez, Aurelian· Tchouameni, Eduardo· Camavinga, Matteo· Guendouzi, Michael · Olisse, Randal · Kolo· Muani and Bradley · Barcola.
Belgium VS France
1. Strength analysis
- Belgium: 5 goal difference in the last 10 games.
- France: 4 goal difference in the last 10 games.
- In the absolute theoretical world, Belgium has a slight advantage of 0.1 goals.
2. State analysis
- Belgium: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, total points 2 wins = 8 points.
- France: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, total points 3 wins = 10 points.
- The points difference is 2 points, indicating that the two teams are in similar form, with France slightly ahead. With similar form, Belgium have won four consecutive home games and France have won back-to-back group stage games and have a solid away record, so the two teams are evenly matched.
3. Analysis of fighting spirit
- Belgium: Third in the table, must fight to score to maintain their chances of qualifying.
- France: Second place, fighting for top spot in the group, the fighting spirit is also high.
- In terms of fighting spirit, both sides have a strong need to win, and the level of fighting spirit is the same, which needs to be further judged in combination with other analysis.
4. Asia Index Analysis
- The initial handicap is a draw/half for the home team, and the water level is 0.91 for the home team and 0.92 for the away team.
- The current live handicap is a draw/half for the home team and the water level is 0.82 for the home team and 1.02 for the away team.
- Judging from the water level trend, the market's support for Belgium has gradually increased. By raising the water level in France and lowering the water level in Belgium, the agency showed a tendency to remain unbeaten at Belgium's home field.
- The market remained at the handicap draw/hemisphere, indicating that institutions are cautious about Belgium's slight advantage. The change in water level suggests that Belgium has some countervailing power, and even if France has the advantage, they are not confident of winning away.
5. Institutional Bottom Line
- 胜：2.75/2.65 ≈ 1.04
- Draw: 3.50/3.15 ≈ 1.11
- Negative: 2.30/2.30 = 1.0
- None of the values exceeded 1.2, indicating that the game was uncertain, and that all the results were likely to be played and the values were relatively close.
6. Analysis of the change of win, draw and loss trend
- The home win level dropped to around 2.85 at one point and then gradually rose back to 3.10, while the away win level also experienced fluctuations from 2.13 to 2.22 during this period. This suggests that the agency is trying to attract funds to choose France to win during this period, while controlling the draw at 3.50, showing that the agency's support for France is gradually weakening, and Belgium is unbeaten at home.
- The draw level has been raised to 3.40 and away wins remain between 2.30-2.35. At this time, there is also a small fluctuation in the home win level. It is possible that this adjustment is due to the fact that the institution is attracting players to interest in the draw, possibly because of the increased pressure on market funds in the direction of the draw.
- To the most immediate handicap, the water level of the away win rose to 2.30, and the home win remained around 3.10. This change has placed more emphasis on the possibility of Belgium remaining unbeaten at home, and the institution's confidence in France has been weakened again.
Win transaction data
7. Transaction data analysis
- Through the analysis of volume and transaction price, the transaction amount in the main winning direction is relatively small, indicating that the market is not confident in Belgium's victory. The gradual increase in transaction prices indicates that there are some funds that are optimistic about France's victory or that the game is difficult for Belgium to win. The volume of the price increase was not significant, indicating that the influx of funds was not sustainable, indicating that the market is still not confident in Belgium's winning rate.
- The turnover of the away win was the highest of the three, indicating that the market has strong confidence in France's victory. Moreover, the transaction price of Kesheng remained relatively stable, with only a small fluctuation, and the current water level is 2.46, which means that the buyer's expectation of France's victory is clearer. At the same time, the steady growth in the volume of the away win direction reflects the continuous inflow of funds, which further strengthens the expectation of France's victory.
- Draws are the second-highest in turnover, suggesting that the market is also concerned about the possibility of a draw between the two teams. The trading price remained at 3.50 with little fluctuation, indicating that the attractiveness of a draw as a possible outcome is relatively stable. The market tends to think that the two teams are evenly matched, but prefer France to win.
- The flow of funds won by France is large, and the transaction price is relatively stable, indicating that the main funds are concentrated in the direction of France and the support for France is relatively strong. The volume and price in the Belgium direction showed a cautious attitude towards the funds, and the price increase indicated that the market was not confident in Belgium's home win. Although the volume of a draw is second to that of an away win, the lack of money going to a draw means that the market is more inclined to a win than a draw.
Final lottery prediction suggestion: away win one to two
Statement: I only provide pre-game information and China Sports Lottery and Beijing single game analysis and prediction, most of the data from the network collection, analysis is only a personal opinion for reference only, please buy a reasonable regular lottery.