Georgia VS Albania
Cup: 2024-2025 UEFA Nations League
The UEFA Nations League will be played in the following format
1. The 55 teams are divided into 4 levels of ABCD according to their rankings. The grading criteria for the first edition were based on the points ranking of the UEFA associations.
2. The tournament will be held in even-numbered years, and the tournament will be played until the finals of the second year.
3. The league adopts a relegation system: the bottom 4 teams of the A, B and C leagues will be relegated, and the 4 groups of champions of the B, C and D leagues will be promoted.
4. There will be 4 places in the UEFA Nations League to qualify for the finals of the European Football Championship.
UEFA Nations League 00:00 Georgia VS Albania Venue: Bolis National Stadium Weather: Light rain Temperature: 16°C~17°C
Georgia (home team) has 23 players, the team is worth €174m, the average age is 27.4 years, and the FIFA world ranking: 66th.
Record in the last 6 games: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 15 goals scored in the last 10 games, 11 goals conceded, and 4 goal difference.
Group ranking: 3 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, 6 points, ranked 1st in the group.
Home results: 5 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss
Personnel situation: No main players have been injured or suspended, and the lineup is complete.
Team spirit: Georgia currently has six points, leading the group with a goal difference advantage over the Czech Republic, and the team still needs to fight for points to consolidate the top spot in the group.
Team update: Georgia are unbeaten in their last six home games, with an excellent record of four wins and two draws, and the team's home performance is quite good.
Georgia have scored 5 goals and conceded 2 goals in the last 3 games, and the team's offensive performance is good, and the defense is stable.
Georgia suffered a 1-0 defeat to Ukraine in a UEFA Nations League match, ending their two-game winning streak and dipping form.
Georgia VS Albania
Albania (away) has 26 players, the team is worth €98m, the average age is 27.1 years, and the FIFA world ranking: 67th.
Record in the last 6 games:1 win2 draws, 3 losses, last 10 games have scored 11 goals, conceded 11 goals, goal difference 0.
Group standing: 3 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, 3 points, ranked 4th in the group.
Away results: 2 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses
Personnel situation: (main central defender) Bet · Gimsitti, (main left winger) Urzuni injured and unavailable.
Team Spirit: Albania currently sit bottom of the group with three points, and if the team wants to compete for promotion, they will need to go all out to get points in the next games.
Team update: Albania suffered two consecutive defeats in the recently concluded UEFA Nations League against the Czech Republic, and the team's current form is not good.
Albania have also suffered two consecutive defeats on the road, with poor away performances and worrying form.
Albania have failed to score a goal in their last two Nations League games, and the team's attacking performance has been weak.
Albania are currently ranked 67th in the world and Georgia is 66th, and the two teams are almost evenly ranked.
Recent all-time meetings between the two teams: The two teams have met twice in the last five years, with Georgia winning 1 and drawing 1.
The same handicap aspect: Initial handicap: the home team handicap hemisphere, the home team has the same handicap trend in the last 6 games as this game: win, lose, win, win, win,
Georgia VS Albania
Pre-Match Briefing:
The Mikael · Meski Stadium will be lit up on Monday night when Georgia host Albania in the fourth round of the UEFA Nations League. Georgia currently top the group with six points, while Albania is third with three points.
Georgia suffered their first defeat of the tournament last weekend away to Ukraine. Although they dominated possession and shots, they failed to create too many clear chances and ended up losing 1-0.
That was their only blemish in the group stage, with their previous two games showing excellent performances, scoring five goals and winning back-to-back games.
At home, Georgia are unbeaten in six consecutive matches, including five wins, so the hosts are the clear favourites for this game.
Albania, on the other hand, conceded in the third minute against the Czech Republic last week and failed to find their rhythm and lost 2-0.
The result leaves Albania with just three points from three games and could be six points behind in the race for the top two in the group if they fail to win.
In addition, Albania have won just one of their last five away matches, suggesting that it will not be easy to get all three points in this game.
Georgia head coach Willy · Sagnol has no injury problems and the squad is complete.
Georgia are expected to adopt a 3-5-2 formation and start line-ups: Giorgi· Mamardashvili, Giorgi· Gwelesiani, Ghulam· Kasia, Rasha· Dwali, Ottar· Kakabadze, Giorgi· Kocholashvili, Ottar· Kiteshvili, Giorgi· Chakvetadze, Luka· Lochoshvili, Georges· Mikautadze and Kovaratskhelia.
Albania managers Silvinho· Mendes · Campos also have a healthy full squad.
Albania are expected to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation and the starters are likely to include: Thomas· Strakosha, El Said· Haishai, Aldian· Ismaili, Maras· Kumbula, Mario · Mitay, Kazim· Razi, Ilbert· Ramadani, Yasir· Asani, Christian · Asllani, Nedim· Bayrami and Mirlind· Daku.
Georgia VS Albania
1. Strength analysis
- Georgia: 15 goals scored and 11 goals conceded in the last 10 games, goal difference = 4
- Albania: 11 goals scored and 11 goals conceded in the last 10 games, goal difference = 0
- Georgia has a 0.4 goal advantage in the absolute theoretical world.
2. State analysis
- Georgia: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, points = 10 points
- Albania: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, points = 5 points
- Point difference: = 5 points This shows that Georgia's form is significantly better than Albania's. Albania have been lacklustre in attack recently, especially failing to score in two consecutive games, and their form is low.
3. Analysis of fighting spirit
- Georgia: Currently top of the group, need to consolidate their position, and have plenty of fighting spirit.
- Albania: At the bottom of the group, if you want to fight for promotion, you need to go all out to fight for points, and the fighting spirit is also high.
- Both sides are very adequate, so there will be no deviation in terms of fighting spirit, and further analysis of the fundamentals is needed.
4. Asian Indices
- In the initial handicap, the home team conceded half a half, and the water level was 1.05 for the home team and 0.85 for the away team.
- The current live handicap is half a handicap for the home team, with the water level at 0.99 for the home team and 0.91 for the away team.
- The home team level in the current market basically remained between 0.98 and 1.00, with no significant increase or downward adjustment, indicating that the institution's confidence in Georgia's victory has gradually stabilized, but it has not significantly improved confidence.
- The visitors' water level fluctuated little until 14:00 on 14 October, but gradually rose to 0.91 or even higher in the hours leading up to the match, reflecting weaker confidence in Albania.
5. Institutional Bottom Line
- 胜：1.91 / 1.83 ≈ 1.04
- Draw: 3.40 / 3.15 ≈ 1.08
- Negative: 3.80 / 3.80 = 1.00
- All values are below 1.2, indicating that no obvious options have been excluded and the values are close.
6. Analysis of the change of win, draw and loss trend
- Both the initial and immediate markets show a slight downward adjustment in the home win level, and with the lower index, the home win direction has attracted the attention of institutions and the market, and institutions remain confident in the home win results.
- The draw level is relatively stable and does not fluctuate significantly, and institutions remain open to a draw as a potential outcome, indicating that it is a secondary option.
- The water level of away wins has gradually increased, and the index of away wins is high when the return rate is high, indicating that institutions have reservations about the occurrence of away wins and do not think that Albania away wins are more likely.
Home win transaction data
7. Transaction data analysis
- The main win accounted for the majority of the total turnover, indicating that the market had high support for Georgia's victory. The most traded price is 2.02, and the most recent traded price is 2.00. This steady deal at a lower price indicates that the market's confidence in Georgia's victory is growing, and buyers are gradually accepting lower prices as the game approaches. The price action is stable at around 2.00, and the volume is gradually increasing, indicating that the buying interest of the main winner is high, and it is possible that the main capital will enter, pushing the price to stabilize in a lower range. The number of buyers listing around 2.00 shows that funds are more inclined to buy home wins at a low level, and the market has high confidence in Georgia's victory.
- The turnover of a draw is a small percentage of the total turnover, indicating that the market is less interested in a draw than a home win. The most traded price for a draw is 3.5, while the current traded price is 3.55, which is slightly higher. This uptick indicates that the market's confidence in the draw is low, and that buyers' interest in the draw decreases over time. The price fluctuated slightly between 3.5 and 3.55, indicating that the attraction of a draw is less and the market is more skewed towards a home win. Fewer buyers for a draw are listed and prices are gradually rising, suggesting that the market is less focused on a draw and may expect Georgia to win in regulation time.
- The turnover of away wins is the smallest, indicating that the market has low expectations for Albania away wins. The highest traded price of Away Win is 4.6, while the current traded price is 4.7. The price of away wins continues to rise, indicating that the market's confidence in Albania's victory continues to decline. Prices fluctuated between 4.6 and 4.7 with relatively low volumes, reflecting little propensity in the market to support away wins. The high listing price of the buyer indicates that the market is not interested in the Albania customer, and the seller has more listing price than the buyer, and this unbalanced structure shows that the market is not optimistic about the customer.
Final lottery prediction suggestion: home win 1 to 0
Statement: I only provide pre-game information and China Sports Lottery and Beijing single game analysis and prediction, most of the data from the network collection, analysis is only a personal opinion for reference only, please buy a reasonable regular lottery.