Now everyone is suffering, whether the United States will continue to raise interest rates, how long to raise interest rates, when to cut interest rates is no longer a matter of concern for everyone, the focus is on how to live smoothly until the end of the year.
At the beginning, the Fed's expectation is to raise interest rates to about 5.5, create a wave of dollar shortages around the world, burst the debt bombs of some countries, and then bind the economies of these countries with borrowing with a large number of political terms, provide an external support for US debt, re-establish the importance of the US dollar's position in international trade, and then end with interest rate cuts, and give a wave of dollar shocks to countries that urgently need a large number of valuable assets of the US dollar to sell at the price. Regardless of whether this method of cutting wool was achieved intentionally or unintentionally, this is how the tide of dollars affects the world
Now, interest rates have been raised to 5.5, there is not much room to continue to raise interest rates, there are trillions of US debts due in the next year to be repaid, but the world-wide debt crisis, that is, did not happen, most countries, cut back on food and clothing, reduce the scale of trade, run to find someone currency swap is also, that is, it has not collapsed, this year, the number of countries that have defaulted on global debt has turned out to be less than in ordinary years
Now is, no matter how the Fed manipulates the statistical caliber, plays the number game, and releases good news, what it is asking for is not a reduction in inflation data, but a defense of the dollar's status, inflation data is just a fig leaf they are looking for, and now even this fig leaf is about to break, without significantly reducing the proportion of fuel and commodities in inflation data, the fig leaf will soon fall off.
The United States can only guarantee one dollar and US debt, but if the United States wants both, then try it.
Now cut interest rates, the US economy will immediately enter a recession cycle, without interest rate cuts, the US economy in the next six months to a year there is a risk of collapse.