Feeling ready to fly, the international community is closely watching how Iran retaliates for Israeli air strikes on the Iranian embassy in Syria.
At this time, the United States made a calculated move, the U.S. State Department said on the 11th that Secretary of State Blinken has asked Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and other foreign ministers to use their own influence to dissuade Iran from the idea of retaliating against Israel.
Speaking to reporters, Mr. Blinken spoke with foreign ministers from China, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and European countries over the past day to show that "it is not in anyone's interest to worsen the situation, and countries should urge Iran not to escalate the situation." Blinken also spoke by phone with Israeli Defense Secretary Gallant, reiterating that the United States "strongly supports Israel in its fight against such threats."
In other words, Blinken had a phone call with Foreign Minister Wang Yi in the past day, which was a call under a special emergency situation, and communication on a single issue.
Blinken already has plans to visit China, and according to the information announced by China and the United States, he will visit China in the near future, following Treasury Secretary Yellen. However, Iran's retaliation against Israel should be in a hurry before his visit to China, and he cannot wait for the Chinese and US foreign ministers to meet.
Judging from the situation, the US side has obtained intelligence that Iran's retaliation against Israel is imperative, but it is only a matter of scale. Why did Blinken speak on the phone with the Chinese foreign minister before the likely attack? Do you really think China can dissuade Iran?
Although Blinken also had phone calls with the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia and Turkey, the phone calls with the Chinese side undoubtedly attracted the most attention. China has brokered a rapprochement between Iran and its Sunni rival, Saudi Arabia, and is considered to have deep influence over Iran.
However, when Iran's own embassy was bombed by Israel and sought revenge, not to mention international law or conventions, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, which suffered heavy casualties, did not breathe such a bad breath, and the top level of Tehran would not be able to give an account to the country, and it would not be able to raise its head in the international arena in the future.
At this time, without a sufficient and reasonable reason, it is extremely difficult for Iran to realize that the benefits of not retaliating outweigh retaliation, and that if it does not bear it, it will be a big plan. China's bitter persuasion may even arouse Iran's suspicion, and from this point of view, Blinken's phone call hides the smell of discord between China and Iran.
The White House has indicated that it has communicated with Iran and that the United States itself was not involved in the embassy attack.
Iran, for its part, has also disclosed the intensity of its planned retaliation, with attacks that will be "restrained and not escalated" and that it plans to "use regional proxies to launch some attacks against Israel." The implication is that Iran will grasp the situation and will not be everywhere to avoid falling into Israel's trap.
According to Iran's judgment, Israel is trying to pull the United States and Iran into the water at this time, so that the United States and Iran can face off in the Middle East, which is a wishful thinking for Netanyahu. Iran believes that one yard is one yard, and in this matter, the target of retaliation is Israel, and it is not yet the turn of the "big devil" United States, and being forced to make a hard bar with the United States at this time is a matter of "bitterness and hatred" to a certain extent, and Iran and the United States do not need to ignite the barrel of explosives at this time to achieve a showdown.
In addition, Iran believes that Israel is nothing more than a horse boy of the United States, and that Iran's use of proxies to retaliate against Israel is a reciprocal retaliation, which is completely in the past.
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Ali Khamenei has set the tone that Israel "must and should be punished." Khamenei's speech not only smacked of giving orders, but also based on his political and religious status, it was also a kind of holy order in the religious sense.
In this case, Blinken still spoke with the Chinese foreign minister, knowing that Iran would inevitably take action, but also asked China not to do it, and took the opportunity to test China's real influence on Iran. In the future, if Iran retaliates, the US rhetoric will immediately become, "The United States has worked hard for peace, but China will not dissuade the war in the Middle East".
At the same time, Blinken's phone call with influential countries is also an alternative advice and warning to Netanyahu, stop making reckless words before the election, and the killing of American soldiers in Iran's retaliation will affect Biden's election.
China's reply to Blinken's "request" at this time can be imagined. It is conceivable that the Chinese side will convince others with reason, and it is conceivable whether the United States will accept it.
Whoever started the trouble should end it.
Blinken knows this game better than anyone else.