【School Viewpoint】:
With the U.S. dollar index yesterday closed a positive line propeller, it can be basically determined that the U.S. dollar index has come to an end, after Monday's deep pullback and liquidity leakage, the U.S. dollar index finally woke up on Tuesday and began to correct the market, but this correction action is not big, the school believes that the reason is that the market stimulus elements are not in place, so the U.S. dollar index has not really started the rising market, if the latter stimulus elements are in place, I believe that the U.S. dollar index will start the rising market, we can wait and see.
With the passage of time, the situation in the Middle East continues to change, it can be said that the Lebanese Allah Party has become more and more oppressive to Israel, everyone is actually in the stage of war, but Israel has not had any counterattack action, just keep talking about it, some people do not understand this, and the school believes that Israel is not swallowing its voice, but because of the lack of effective support and sufficient confidence, Israel can not really fight with the Lebanese Allah Party, and can only be in the stage of being beaten for the time being, while continuing to pressure the big beauty, Forcing the Lao Bai government to leave the Middle East as soon as possible, so as to form a situation of encirclement and strangulation, but the Lao Bai government is also very clear that this is a big gamble, in order to get more chips to deliberately delay the situation, and want to force Israel to comply, so as to support the Lao Bai government, so the current situation in the Middle East is temporarily in a stalemate stage, on the one hand, Israel is constantly beaten, on the other hand, the big beautiful troops do not move, the two sides are working hard, it depends on who can survive whom, but obviously this stalemate will not last long, because the breakthrough will occur in the next few days, Therefore, the school predicts that there will be a move in the Middle East in the near future, and it can be prepared in advance.
With the appearance of Fed Governor Bowman, the words revealed a strong hawkish message, which means that the Fed will change its previous monetary policy attitude and take interest rate hikes to stimulate market stimulus, while curbing domestic inflation... For this problem, the school does not see it that way, although Bowman is the largest hawk in the Federal Reserve, but also has the right to vote, but her words are mainly to serve the situation, if the dollar index begins to rise, then the hawkish remarks will play a very important positive role in stimulating the market, so, when Bowman issued the strongest hawkish voice this year, it is a sign that the dollar index will officially start to rise, and considering the recent situation in the Middle East, the school boldly predicts that the United States will officially end the Middle East in recent days, Together with Israel, we will launch an all-out strike against Lebanon... If this happens, the global situation will enter a major turning point, and the great changes in a century will also be accelerated.
As for the operation strategy, combined with today's market trend, the school judges that the U.S. dollar index has basically had a strong ideology, so the operation can find opportunities to long the U.S. dollar, short non-U.S. currencies at high prices, and try to choose valuable points to enter the market.
【Trading Strategy】:
EUR/USD:
To sum up, pay attention to the actual movement of the US dollar index today and wait for the opportunity to go long; Corresponding to the European and American currencies, choose the opportunity to sell short at high prices today, and give the following suggestions in combination with the disk, refer to the operation as appropriate, and take a light position:
EUR/USD
GBP/USD:
Today's second operation currency pair, you can choose GBPUSD; The operation idea is also to sell short on high prices, and the following suggestions are given in combination with the disk, and the operation is referred to as appropriate, and the position is light:
GBP/USD
Gold:
As the situation in the Middle East becomes more and more complex, it is becoming more and more challenging for gold, because the deterioration of the situation is good for gold, but before the deterioration event, gold will also have a wave of correction out, so it depends on how it will run today? The school predicts that there is a wide range of gold sweeping market today, please be cautious and cautious!
Combined with the following suggestions given by the disk, the market will do it when it gives the opportunity, wait and see if it is not given the opportunity, and take a light position:
XAU/USD