If the price of pigs has the appropriate breeding profits can be slaughtered in batches, although it has entered the golden period of the new pig price cycle, but the fat pig slaughter period should be cautious, now the change in pig prices is very weird, the season of the price increase is not the price increase, the price should not rise in the season, whether it is the golden period of pig raising, or the decline period, pig farmers should grasp the opportunity, the pig price exceeds the production cost after there is a proper profit to be slaughtered in time, do not press the fence, their own affairs, Don't be bewitched by people who speculate on pig prices on the Internet, don't be unpopular, and pay attention to avoid the recurrence of the phenomenon of 14 yuan per catty at the end of October 2022 and waiting until the loss to be slaughtered.
Pig farmers are looking forward to the stars and the moon, and this year is finally looking forward to the recovery of pig prices. The first round of pig price increases this year has benefited from the entry into a new pig price cycle, de-capacity, the traditional festival Dragon Boat Festival and the annual college entrance examination consumption, which has promoted the sharp rise in pig prices. Since the price of live pigs reached 14 yuan per catty in November 2022, it has continued to fall to about 6.5 yuan per catty this year. On May 18 this year, pig prices began to show a slow upward trend, and the price of fat pigs per catty around the Dragon Boat Festival exceeded 9.00 yuan in most places, and some places were close to 10 yuan. The annual Dragon Boat Festival is the starting point of pork consumption from the off-season to the peak season in a year, and the price of live pigs during the Dragon Boat Festival last year reached up to 8 yuan per catty, and this year it is close to 10 yuan. With the end of the Dragon Boat Festival, pork consumption has entered a weak situation, and the price of live pigs has stopped rising, rising a few corners today, falling a few corners tomorrow, and fluctuating repeatedly. There was no big rise or fall.
Now is the highest temperature period of the year, but also the season of the lowest pork consumption, from the end of the Spring Festival to the end of August is the off-season for pork consumption in the year, the Spring Festival to the Dragon Boat Festival mainly consume pickled products made during the Spring Festival, rarely buy fresh pork. After the Dragon Boat Festival, the nutritional climate is hot and dry, and this stage is the season of the year when people consume the least amount of meat food, and it is also the period when the price of live pigs is the lowest.
Now into the summer, the high temperature and dry days are coming soon, many places have now entered the high temperature period of 35 °C, the temperature in some places has exceeded 40 °C, in the hot and dry season people's consumption of meat food will be greatly reduced, now many consumers are vegetarian-based, the phenomenon of drinking and meating has decreased, and now the pork sales on the pork stalls in the vegetable market are very weak, the reduction of pork sales, pork will be in excess of demand, and the price will be difficult to rise. If consumption does not increase, it will be difficult for pig prices to recover. Although July and August are the weakest seasons of the year for pork consumption, I believe that with the recent college entrance examination admissions, parents sending students to school to report to study and travel, banquets to thank tutors, etc., to promote the development of tourism and catering industry, the arrival of the traditional festival Mid-Autumn Festival is the main factor driving the increase in pork consumption. Therefore, it is difficult for the price of live pigs to drop significantly, and the probability is that the price of fat pigs per catty fluctuates around 8.5-9 yuan.
With the end of Futian in August, the temperature in various parts of the country has gradually decreased, the sky is high and cloudy, the climate is cool, and domestic pork consumption has entered the peak season. After September, various schools have opened one after another, and the opening of schools has led to a significant increase in pork consumption, and the price of live pigs will continue to rise. At the end of the day in September, the temperature gradually drops, people will say goodbye to the scorching heat into the cool autumn, people's lives return to normal, the consumption of meat food gradually increases, the consumption increases, the price can rise at the same time the tourism industry has entered the peak season, after September, the temperature in various parts of the country gradually decreases, the sky is high and cloudy, the climate is cool, it is a good season for people to travel, the tourism industry will enter a new climax period, the prosperity of tourism, driving the development of the catering industry, and the increase in pork consumption.
At the same time, every year's National Day is a small holiday, and people will go out to travel, whether it is long-term tourism or short-term tourism, it is relatively popular. In November, the southern region entered the season of making bacon, and now the season of making bacon is advanced, and a large amount of pork needs to be consumed every year for bacon production, so the price of live pigs will enter the highest season of the year. Therefore, after the Mid-Autumn Festival, the price of live pigs will gradually stop falling and rebound, entering the season with the highest pork consumption in a year, and it is also the season with the highest pig prices in a year, and the high-priced pork will continue to the Spring Festival, and after the Spring Festival, it has entered the off-season of pork consumption, and the price of live pigs has entered a period of decline.
Although the analysis of experts, in June this year, it has bid farewell to the pig price cycle in 2022 and entered a new pig price cycle, ending the long loss period of pig raising and entering a new price cycle. Now it has entered the golden period of the pig price cycle, and the pig price is rising more and falling less, and the prospect of pig prices this year is very good. There is no suspense about the rise in pig prices, but there are three factors affecting the rise in pig prices at the end of the year, one is to follow the trend of pig breeding, the second is the fear of pig farmers, and the third is the imported low-price reserve pork. Now the change in the price of pigs is very weird, the season of the price increase is not the price increase, the season price should not be raised, the pig farmers should grasp the opportunity, do not determine in advance what time to slaughter, to be improvised, the pig price exceeds the production cost after there is a proper profit to be slaughtered in time, this is the principle of fat pig slaughter, remember not to press the bar, pay attention to avoid the end of October 2022 14 yuan per catty not slaughtered and wait until the loss of the phenomenon of slaughter.