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Text: Yu Yu
Edited by Yu Yu
preface
Today, when global 5G competition is becoming increasingly fierce, a news that shocked the world came: Germany announced that it would dismantle China's 5G equipment, what are the considerations behind this decision?
However, just as Germany was making this decision, a jaw-dropping breakthrough came from China, was it a coincidence or a well-planned technological battle?
Germany's 5G dilemma
On July 11, 2024, the Germany Federal Ministry of the Interior suddenly announced a decision that shocked the industry: it will gradually remove the 5G network equipment of Chinese companies such as Huawei and ZTE.
This news is like a bombshell, causing a huge shock in the field of international communications, but a closer look at Germany's 5G development process, it is not difficult to find the contradictions and helplessness.
In this process, Huawei and other Chinese companies quickly occupied more than 50% of Germany's market share by virtue of their technological and price advantages.
Germany's 5G network construction can be said to be inseparable from China, but with the change of the international situation, Germany's 5G policy has also begun to waver.
Now Germany has postponed this deadline to 2029, requiring the completion of the clean-up of Huawei's core components by 2026 and the complete dismantling of Chinese telecommunications equipment by 2029.
Not only that, but this could also seriously affect the progress of Germany's 5G network construction, putting it at a disadvantage in the future digital competition.
After all, in today's increasingly fierce global technology competition, any decision that could lead to technological backwardness could have far-reaching negative consequences.
From this series of measures, we can see the difficult balance between international pressure and self-interest for Germany.
This dilemma reflects the complexity of the current global competition in science and technology, in which every decision could affect the future trajectory of a country's development in this war without gunpowder.
China's 6G breakthrough
Just as Germany is in the middle of a 5G dilemma, there is exciting news from China, and on July 11, 2024, Chinese scientists announced that they had successfully built the world's first 6G test network.
This will have a profound impact on the development of remote areas, the response to natural disasters, and the promotion of globalization.
China's breakthrough in the field of 6G is not accidental, as early as 2019, China set up a 6G promotion team to concentrate on the top domestic scientific research forces to overcome core technologies.
Chinese communications giants such as Huawei, ZTE, and Datang have also increased R&D investment, striving to achieve breakthroughs in key technologies.
According to statistics, China ranks first in the world in the number of 6G patent applications, accounting for 40.3%, far exceeding the 35.2% and 9.9% of United States and Japan, respectively.
These figures speak volumes about China's remarkable achievements in the research and development of next-generation communication technologies, and it is worth noting that China's 6G technology is expected to be commercially available around 2030.
This timing coincides with Germany's plan to completely eliminate 5G equipment from Chinese enterprises, and this timing coincidence is reminiscent of the lane change overtaking of technological development.
While some countries are still struggling with the source of 5G equipment, China is already laying out for the next generation of communication technology.
From 5G to 6G, the rapid development of China's communication technology has attracted the attention of the world, which not only reflects China's determination and ability in scientific and technological innovation, but also injects new vitality into the development of global communication technology.
The global technology competition landscape
While China's 6G technology has made breakthroughs, the global communication technology competition is also quietly escalating.
As a scientific and technological power, the United States is naturally not far behind, although it is slightly passive in the field of 5G, but in 6G research and development, the United States government is vigorously supporting technology giants such as Qualcomm, Intel, and Google.
These companies have made some progress in key technologies such as millimeter-wave communications and ultra-low latency networks, while the United States is also promoting a trusted supplier program to try to replace Chinese 5G equipment globally to consolidate its dominant position in the communications field.
Although the EU has different steps in 5G deployment, it attaches no less importance to 6G than other countries.
The European Commission is working on new cybersecurity regulations that could further restrict Chinese companies doing business in Europe.
However, it remains to be seen whether this approach will actually contribute to the development of communication technology in Europe, after all, in today's globalized world, it is difficult to achieve breakthroughs in closed innovation.
Japan has an ambitious 6G strategy, aiming to obtain more than 10% of patents in this field by 2030.
The positive actions of these countries will undoubtedly further promote the rapid development of global 6G technology, and it is worth noting that in 2018, the University of Oulu in Finland took the lead in 6G research and held the first 6G Summit the following year.
This shows that even relatively small countries are actively participating in this global technology race.
In this competition, we can see an interesting phenomenon: while some countries are still arguing about the origin of 5G equipment, others have begun to lay out for the 6G era.
This pattern of cross-generational competition makes the development of global communication technology complex and dynamic.
However, we should also realize that real scientific and technological innovation is never a zero-sum game, and the breakthroughs and innovations of various countries in the competition will ultimately promote the overall progress of global communication technology.
As 6G technology shows, the future of communication is not only an increase in speed, but also an intelligent and ubiquitous revolution, which will bring infinite possibilities for the development of human society.
In this global technology competition, what matters is not who is one step ahead for the time being, but who can continue to maintain the momentum for innovation.
For every country, the wise choice is not to cling to existing advantages, but to be more open-minded and long-term in preparing for the development of the next generation of technology.
Decision-making and influence
Germany's decision to dismantle China's 5G equipment and China's breakthrough in the field of 6G will undoubtedly have a profound impact on the global technology landscape.
This is not just a matter of technology choice, but also a major issue of national strategy and international relations.
First of all, Germany's decision may have a certain impact on Sino-German relations, and the Chinese Foreign Ministry has expressed strong dissatisfaction and resolute opposition to this.
Considering that China is Germany's largest trading partner, this decision could affect the economic and trade relations between the two countries.
Huawei has 23 R&D centers in Europe, employing more than 2,400 R&D personnel, and the future of these investments and employment opportunities will also be uncertain.
However, Huawei said it will continue to invest in Germany and comply with local laws and regulations, an attitude that shows the resilience and long-term vision of Chinese companies.
In fact, in today's globalization, it is difficult for any country to completely sever its scientific and technological ties with other countries.
Germany industry is concerned about the government's decision, which they believe could affect the progress of Germany's 5G network construction and thus weaken Germany's competitiveness in digital transformation.
Against the backdrop of the current challenges facing the global economy, such concerns are undoubtedly worth noting, and more broadly, Germany's decision could trigger a chain reaction.
Other European countries are likely to follow Germany's lead, which will further change the landscape of the global 5G equipment market.
However, whether this change will actually improve cybersecurity, or whether it will only increase costs and delay 5G deployment, is still a question worth pondering.
At the same time, China's breakthrough in the field of 6G has undoubtedly injected new impetus into the development of global communication technology.
This not only demonstrates China's strength in scientific and technological innovation, but also points out the direction for the future development of global communication technology.
In the 6G era, communication is no longer just about the transmission of information, but will be deeply integrated with artificial intelligence, Internet of Things and other technologies to create a new era of intelligent interconnection.
This incident also highlights the importance of scientific and technological innovation, and the real winners in this smokeless competition are not those countries that try to limit the development of other countries through administrative means, but those countries that continue to invest and innovate.
Overall, Germany's decision and China's breakthrough paint a complex picture of global technological competition.
In this picture, we see competition and opportunity; I saw the challenges, but also the hopes.
In the face of such a situation, governments and enterprises need to be more open and inclusive, seek cooperation in competition, and promote progress in innovation.
Epilogue:
Germany's decision to dismantle China's 5G equipment and China's breakthrough in 6G technology reflect the complexity of the current global technology competition.
This is not only a technological competition, but also a competition of national strategy and innovation capabilities, in this process, we have seen the difficult choice of countries in the trade-off of interests, but also witnessed the infinite possibilities of scientific and technological innovation.
In the face of such change, it is clear that isolation and exclusion are not the wise choice, but what we need is more openness, cooperation and innovation.
In this new era of informatization and intelligence, let us work together to build a more interconnected and smarter world with the power of science and technology.
I believe that in the near future, both 5G and 6G will become a bridge connecting all mankind and pushing us towards a more prosperous and harmonious future.
Resources:
On July 16, 2024, Hexun.com released "New Breakthroughs in Mainland 6G Key Technologies! Enterprise Chacha: Last year's new communication technology-related enterprises hit a new high》
On July 11, 2024, National Business Daily published "The World's First! Mainland scientists build new breakthroughs in key 6G technologies》
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