A fire in your backyard? The Russian side just warned Armenia, and within 24 hours, Romania also condemned the Russian side
Russia should have been able to obtain a relatively safe and stable environment in the surrounding region after the victory of Ukraine. However, contrary to expectations, Armenia and Romania issued stern warnings and condemnations to Russia in just two days. It seems that the situation around Russia is still not optimistic, and it is facing unprecedented severe challenges.
Shocking changes Russia's "backyard" has been on fire one after another
Just after senior Russia officials issued a stern warning to Armenia not to follow Ukraine's lead as the next "troublemaker", it was unexpected that Romania also launched a strong protest against Russia. It is reported that less than 24 hours after Russia issued a warning to Armenia, some suspected wreckage of drones was found in Turka County in northeastern Romania, and then the Romania Foreign Ministry urgently summoned the Russia Chargé d'Affaires in Romania to strongly protest against the Russian side.
This makes people have to sigh that Russia should have been able to obtain a relatively safe and stable environment in the surrounding areas after achieving a stable victory on the battlefield in Ukraine. However, the reality is not so, Armenia and Romania have issued stern warnings and condemnations to Russia in just two days, which has undoubtedly brought new troubles to Russia.
What is puzzling is that although NATO commented on this matter, it made it clear that it did not find any evidence of Russia's deliberate attack on Romania's territory, Romania still expressed strong protest against Russia, and even used the topic to condemn Russia's military action in Ukraine. It seems that Romania's response this time was indeed too drastic and unreasonable.
It is not difficult to see that Romania undoubtedly wants to take advantage of this unexpected incident to deliberately escalate tensions with Russia and try to create more external troubles to disrupt Russia. This also reflects that even if Russia and Ukraine are expected to reach a peace agreement, NATO and other Western countries are still unwilling and still want to take the opportunity to create a new conflict, so that Russia is in a difficult situation of multi-front warfare.
It can be said that these two incidents fully show that Russia's current peripheral situation is still extremely grim, and it is riddled with internal and external troubles. In terms of internal worries, Russia has made mistakes in handling the internal affairs of the CSTO, which has led to an increasingly serious situation of "turning against each other" within the organization. For example, Armenia wants to withdraw from the CSTO and join NATO because of its dissatisfaction with Russia. This undoubtedly brings new security risks to Russia.
In terms of external troubles, some countries such as Romania have deliberately created various troubles against Russia, trying to continuously escalate the surrounding situation and prevent Russia from achieving final victory in Ukraine. Although Russia now has the upper hand on the battlefield in Ukraine, the pre-dawn is indeed the darkest and most dangerous time. Therefore, Russia must always maintain a high degree of vigilance, clearly understand the current grim situation, resolutely deal with internal and external troubles, and strive to achieve a final and comprehensive victory.
Russia's "double siege"
It seems that even with a phased victory on the battlefield in Ukraine, Russia still faces unprecedented challenges in the surrounding region. Not only are countries such as Armenia and Romania creating all kinds of trouble against Russia, trying to escalate tensions and triggering more external conflicts, but even Russia's internal CSTO has instability, which undoubtedly makes Russia worse.
Although Russia has repeatedly stressed that Armenia is its "brotherly country" and hopes that it will not repeat the mistakes of Ukraine, Armenia is clearly dissatisfied with Russia's dominance and influence and wants to seek secession and join NATO. You know, once Armenia successfully "jumps back", it will undoubtedly plunge Russia's geostrategy into a serious crisis, because it means that Russia will lose its influence and initiative in the Caucasus.
On the other hand, the outcry in Romania has also taken people by surprise. Although NATO has made it clear that it has not found any evidence of Russia's deliberate attack on Romania territory, Romania still strongly condemns Russia, and even tries to use the topic to transfer the contradiction to the battlefield in Ukraine. This is undoubtedly an attempt to escalate tensions between Russia and NATO and create more external troubles.
It can be said that Russia is currently in a kind of "double siege". On the one hand, there is the growing division and instability within the CSTO, of which Armenia's defection is a microcosm, which undoubtedly poses a major geostrategic challenge to Russia. On the other hand, NATO and other Western countries have relied on the cooperation of neighboring countries to constantly create various external troubles, trying to put Russia in a difficult situation of multi-front warfare.
To this end, Russia must always maintain a high degree of vigilance, not only to effectively solve the problem of the division of the internal CSTO, but also to take effective measures to deal with the external pressure of NATO and other Western countries to ensure that its own security interests are not violated. Only in this way can Russia truly get out of the current "double siege" and finally achieve a complete victory on the battlefield in Ukraine and the surrounding areas.
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