North Macedonia VS Armenia
Cup: 2024-2025 UEFA Nations League Venues: Tosse·Prosky Arena Weather: Thunderstorm Temperature: 25°C~26°C
North Macedonia (home team) has 25 players, the whole team is worth €48.65m, the average age is 26.8 years, and the FIFA world ranking: 72nd.
Record in the last 6 games: 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, 11 goals scored in the last 10 games, 17 goals conceded, goal difference -6.
Home results: 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses
Personnel situation: No main players have been injured or suspended, and the lineup is complete.
North Macedonia have a number of players called up to play in the top five leagues, such as RB Leipzig's midfielder Elmas and Bochum's Elez.
Team Spirit: North Macedonia is currently ranked 72nd in the world and will face 97th-ranked Armenia.
Team update: North Macedonia are winless in their last three games and are in poor form, drawing 1-1 with Faroe Islands in their UEFA Nations League fixture.
North Macedonia have only scored 3 goals and conceded 8 goals in the last 5 games, with an imbalance in attack and defense.
North Macedonia
Armenia (away) has 26 players, the team is worth €41.85m, the average age is 25.3 years, and the FIFA world ranking: 97th.
Record in the last 6 games: 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, 10 goals scored in the last 10 games, 15 goals conceded, goal difference -5.
Away results: 1 win(s), 2 draws, 7 loss(es).
Personnel situation: (centre-back) Stopa · Mkelchiyan is injured and unable to play.
Armenia midfielders Speryan, Lukas · Celalayan and Bichakshiyan all scored in their last UEFA Nations League fixture in a 4-1 win over Latvia.
Team fighting spirit: Armenia is currently ranked 97th in the world, many positions behind North Macedonia, ranked 72nd, and there is a gap in strength.
Team update: Armenia recently won two in a row in all competitions, and they beat Kratvia 4-1 in the UEFA Nations League last time.
Armenia have conceded 15 goals in their last 10 games, and their defensive performance has been ineffective.
Recent historical meetings between the two teams: The two sides have faced each other in the past 3 times, and North Macedonia has recorded 2 wins and 1 draw, and the past record has a great advantage.
In terms of the same handicap: Initial handicap: the home team has a draw/hemisphere, the home team has the same handicap trend in the last 6 games as this game: lose, lose, lose, win, lose, win, lose, win, lose, lose, lose, win, lose, lose, lose, win, lose
Armenia
Pre-Match Briefing:
In Group C4 of the Nations League, the highest-ranked North Macedonia will host Armenia and will be looking to take advantage of home advantage to win their first group stage. Armenia, on the other hand, will be looking to extend their lead in this game.
North Macedonia faced the Faroe Islands, the lowest placed team in the group, in their last game and ended a 1-1 draw on penalties, with Ennis · Baldi scoring the equaliser for North Macedonia to end their three-game losing streak.
North Macedonia's last win was a 3-1 win over Armenia in a friendly in October. One area where North Macedonia is in dire need of improvement is defensively, with the hosts having failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine matches, conceding more than one goal in four of those matches.
Armenia jumped top of the group with a 4-1 home win over Latvia in their opening game. They had also won 2-1 against Kazakhstan before, so they were confident when they visited Skopje.
These two victories were preceded by an 11-game winless slump in Armenia. They still need to improve though, as Armenia have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 22 matches.
Armenia, who were relegated to the C-League, have the primary goal of securing a return to the higher leagues this season. And the biggest obstacle may be their poor away record.
Armenia are winless in their last six away matches, with five of them ending in defeat. They have won just one of their last 19 away matches.
North Macedonia
1. Strength analysis
- North Macedonia:In the last 10 games, 11 goals were scored and 17 goals conceded, and the goal difference was -6.
- Armenia: 10 goals scored and 15 conceded in the last 10 games, with a goal difference of -5.
- Armenia has a 0.1 goal advantage in the absolute theoretical world.
2. State analysis
- North Macedonia:0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, score = 3 points.
- Armenia: 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, score = 6 points.
- With a three-point gap in form, Armenia is in slightly better form than North Macedonia and despite poor away performances, their recent two-game winning streak shows a return to form, especially with a 4-1 thrashing of Latvia last time out.
3. Analysis of fighting spirit
- North Macedonia: North Macedonia has a psychological advantage against Armenia, who are ranked lower than them in the world. At the same time, North Macedonia are full of fighting spirit due to the home game and the historical superiority of the two sides, hoping to win points through this game to improve the world ranking and team morale.
- Armenia: Despite being ranked low in the world, recent form has picked up, especially after the big win over Latvia, which has boosted the team's morale. Although Armenia have a poor away record, with their recent winning streak, the team will have a certain desire to win.
- Both sides have a strong fighting spirit, especially North Macedonia playing at home.
4. Asian Indices
- The initial handicap is a draw/half for the home team, with the water level at 0.95 for the home team and 0.95 for the away team.
- The current live handicap is half a handicap for the home team, with the water level at 1.02 for the home team and 0.90 for the away team.
- The rise in the handicap indicates that North Macedonia are favored to win this game, but judging from the change in the water level, the agency does not believe that North Macedonia can win easily, and the victory or defeat may be decided between small scores. Armenia's falling water level reflects the market's emphasis on its ability to defend against the counter-attack, so Armenia has the potential to create difficulties for North Macedonia, especially the possibility of a draw.
5. Institutional Bottom Line
- 胜：2.05 / 1.77 ≈ 1.158
- Draw: 3.60 / 3.20 ≈ 1.125
- 负：3.20 / 4.00 ≈ 0.8
- The home win and draw are both closer to the institutional bottom line value, and the away win value is the lowest, which is more advantageous.
6. Analysis of the change of win, draw and loss trend
- As can be seen from the decline in the home win level, the increase in the home win rate and the change in the index, the market's confidence in North Macedonia winning at home is gradually increasing. Although the water level has dropped, the index indicates that there is still some risk control for the home win, which means that North Macedonia is more likely to win.
- Although the draw level has been raised, the draw rate has basically remained stable, indicating that the market does not have much expectation for the result of the draw. The index shows that institutions are more relaxed in their risk control over draws, which further confirms that the probability of a draw is low.
- As the away win level rises, the away win rate gradually decreases, and both institutions and markets believe that Armenia's chances of winning away from home are low. The Away Win Index shows that the institution's risk control of Armenia's victory is very good, and there is hardly much pressure on payouts.
Home win transaction data
7. Transaction data analysis
- North Macedonia's home wins accounted for the majority of the total turnover, indicating that the market has high expectations for North Macedonia's home wins. The most important transaction price is 2.08, and the current price fluctuates around 2.0, indicating that the downward adjustment of the main winning price means that more market funds flow into the main winning direction, resulting in a gradual decrease in the price. As can be seen from the chart of volume and price, the transaction price in North Macedonia remained around 2.08 before the game and did not fluctuate significantly. This stable price trend, combined with the gradual increase in trading volume, shows that the market is generally optimistic about North Macedonia winning, and funds are gradually concentrated in the direction of the main win.
- Armenia's away win turnover is significantly lower than the home win direction, indicating that the market has weak expectations for Armenia's away wins. The most traded price is 4.20, which shows that the price of Kesheng has gradually increased from 3.80 to 4.20, reflecting the continuous decline in the market's confidence in Kesheng. In terms of trading volume, the trading volume of Kesheng is relatively low, and the transaction price shows an upward trend, which indicates that the market is not optimistic about the possibility of Armenia winning, and a large amount of money does not flow into the direction of Kesheng, but drives the price up.
- The turnover of the draw was moderate, with the highest price at 3.55. Looking at the chart, the price of the draw is less volatile, basically stable around 3.55. Although the trading volume is not as high as the main win, it still has a certain amount of market attention. The price trend of the draw was relatively stable, and there was no significant influx or withdrawal of funds. Combined with the overall trading volume of the market, the draw has some financial support, but relatively speaking, the market still believes that the game is more likely to be won or lost.
Final lottery prediction suggestion: home win 1 to 0
Statement: I only provide pre-game information and China Sports Lottery and Beijing single game analysis and prediction, most of the data from the network collection, analysis is only a personal opinion for reference only, please buy a reasonable regular lottery.