Text丨Begonia
Editor丨Begonia
The quadrennial Olympic Games are coming as scheduled, and athletes from all over the world gather in Paris, France, to show their hard work.
But long before the start of the competition, the American media had already released medal predictions.
Claiming that United States will continue to win the first seven "medal tables" and achieve "eight consecutive villages".
In the prediction of the US media, even Japan will win 53 medals, but the forecast for China is beyond everyone's expectations.
Why is the American media so confident that they can win the championship? And how does it predict China?
First, win the first place again? Is it an exaggeration or a fact
It is reported that before each Olympic Games, Nielsen of United States will provide a forecast of the medals of each country in this competition based on the data of previous years.
This list of predictions can not only roughly grasp the strength of the players of various countries, but also create public opinion and seize the opportunity of the Olympic Games to make a big profit.
In this Paris Olympics, the first medal list announced by the US media is United States, with 121 medals initially predicted.
In fact, in the last seven Olympic events, United States, despite its small population, has consistently held the highest medal count.
The last time the United States lost to China and finished second was in the gold medal table at the Beijing Olympics in '08.
Therefore, it is indeed reasonable for the US media to predict that United States is still the first.
In the case of the Paris Olympics, the advantage of United States winning is also very large.
First of all, although the population of United States is small, it has a natural racial advantage, especially good at athletics, swimming and other sports with high physical exertion.
In addition, the developed economy of United States has attracted sports talents from all over the country and successfully created a strong team.
Secondly, the Paris Olympics also made certain reforms, such as canceling the weightlifting, women's sailing and other sports that China is better at, and adding four sports that we United States good at: breakdancing, skateboarding, surfing and rock climbing.
For the majority of Chinese compatriots, these four projects are not only difficult but also extremely dangerous, so few people usually try them.
In the United States, on the other hand, most of them see these projects as adventures, and they are naturally familiar with the competition.
Just like break dancing, which originated in the United States and is sought after by many young people in the United States, while in China, few of us have even heard of it.
With such a unique advantage, it is not surprising that United States predicts that it will continue to win the first place in the medal table, so how does it predict other countries?
Second, China is second, but the score is behind
In addition to United States, China must be the most concerned.
China is a country with a large population and a sports power, which naturally poses a threat to the United States medal table.
However, unexpectedly, the US media did rank China in second place, but the total number of medals was only 85, far lower than that of United States.
According to the predictions of the US media, both China and United States will win 37 gold medals, but the number of silver medals in United States will be 11 higher than China's, and the number of bronze medals will be 25 higher than China's.
Judging from the number of gold medals, the prediction of the US media is well-founded, and in recent Olympic events, the number of gold medals won by China is far ahead of the teams of other countries, and since the 2000 Sydney Olympic Games, China has not fallen out of the top three in the gold medal list.
The best result was at the Beijing Olympics, where China surpassed second-place United States by 15 gold medals, while in other editions, China trailed United States by only a few gold medals.
Therefore, we can see that China is indeed a strong opponent in the United States gold medal list.
However, in terms of the total number of medals, United States does have more chances to win medals because of the project advantage, but it is indeed controversial to throw out China by such a big score.
Of course, this is a forecast made by United States companies, and it is natural that they will go to great lengths to meet United States' expectations, and it is not absolutely scientific.
Looking at other countries predicted by the US media, United Kingdom is in third place with 65 medals, and Japan is fourth with a total of 53 medals.
The host country France is fifth in the overall table, with a predicted total of 52 medals, including 27 gold medals, even far higher than United Kingdom and Japan, ranking third in the gold medal table.
In the previous Olympic Games, Japan played the role of "10,000-year-old three" for a long time, and in the prediction of the American media, it lost to United Kingdom and fell out of the top three.
In the last Tokyo Olympics, the France delegation only won 10 golds, 12 silvers and 11 bronzes, ranking only 10th in the overall medal table of all countries, which is not outstanding, but now it has risen significantly, and even the number of gold medals has entered the top three.
Although the venue is in Paris, can France really improve qualitatively? Or is it that the US media knows that there is a problem, but also deliberately exaggerates France, is it selling France's face?
Obviously, we found that there is still a lot of controversy in this prediction list released by the American media, so now that the Paris Olympics are in full swing, is the medal ranking really as expected by the American media?
3. The Paris Olympics are in full swing
According to the writing real-time news, the top three in the medal table are United States with 20 medals, France with 16, and China and Japan with 12 medals.
The top three in the gold medal table are Japan with 6 medals, France and China with 5 medals.
This is now the third day of competition after the opening ceremony, and Japan has once again reached the top, and the host country France is in full pursuit and has a great chance to win the championship in one fell swoop.
Looking at China again, teenagers Sheng Lihao and Huang Yuting won the first gold medal for the Chinese delegation in the mixed team 10m air rifle.
Since then, the Chinese team has taken advantage of the victory to chase and won 4 gold medals in the field of diving and design.
At present, the Chinese team has won 5 silver medals, respectively from the archery women's team, shooting women's team, gymnastics men's team and swimming men's and women's swimming, and 2 bronze medals, from the women's 4×100m swimming and the women's 100m butterfly.
And soon, we also got the news that the Chinese women's volleyball team withstood the pressure and won the United States women's volleyball team 3-2; At the same time, in the field of table tennis, which the mainland is best at, Sun Yingsha and Wang Chuqin have also successfully advanced and will play the table tennis mixed doubles final tonight.
From these vivid statistics, we feel the strength of the motherland, which was once a small existence that was ignored by all countries when we first participated in the Olympic Games.
And now we can stand on the global stage again, so that people around the world can see the demeanor of the sons and daughters of China striving to be the first.
epilogue
In the forecasts of the US media, United States is the first high, while China can only be second.
Some people will say that China has always been the second in 10,000 years, so the predictions of the US media are not wrong.
However, for us, the first and second are not so important, but the first in United States is not an eternal myth.
As long as we keep working hard and try to catch up, one day, we will also stand at the top of the medal table and the gold medal table.
Of course, aside from the competition of the Olympic Games, we are more willing to pay attention to the highlight moments of athletes winning glory for the motherland, and we also hope that the front-line athletes are not afraid of challenges and bravely show their style.
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