Ireland VS Greece
Cup: 2024-2025 UEFA Nations League Venue: Dublin-Aviva Stadium, Ireland Weather: Thunderstorm Temperature: 13°C~14°C
Ireland (home team) has 23 players, the team is worth €186.1m, the average age is 25.3 years, and the FIFA world ranking: 58th.
Record in the last 6 games: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, 8 goals scored in the last 10 games, 13 goals conceded, goal difference -5.
Home results: 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses
Personnel situation: No main players have been injured or suspended, and the lineup is complete.
Most of the players in the Ireland squad play in the English league, but apart from goalkeeper Kelleher who plays for Liverpool, no player in the squad plays for the Premier League Big6 side.
Team spirit: Ireland lost 2-0 at home to a strong England side in their first game, and this game is still played at Ireland's home stadium and must defend their home honor.
Team update: Ireland lost 2-0 to England in their last game and have won just one of their five international matches this year, losing three of them.
Ireland's last two matches have not only failed to score, but the back line has also conceded five goals, and there are many hidden problems at both ends of the attack.
Ireland have won 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 home games, with a win rate of only 20%, and the team's home advantage has not been well reflected.
Ireland had just 24 per cent possession in their last matches, and the team's control on the pitch still needs to be strengthened.
Ireland are currently ranked 58th in the world and 54th in the world with rivals Greece, and the two sides are still relatively close in strength.
Ireland
Greece (Away) has 27 players, the team is worth €179.6m, the average age is 25.8 years old, and the FIFA world ranking: 54th.
Record in the last 6 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 22 goals scored in the last 10 games, 5 goals conceded, and 17 goal difference.
Away results: 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses
Personnel conditions: (centre-back) Resos, (left winger) George Oss · Masoulas injured and unavailable.
Greece striker Ioannidis scored two goals in the last game and was one of the heroes of the team's victory.
Team spirit: Greece won 3-0 at home to Finland in their opening game and are now on the verge of taking points away to a comparable Ireland side.
Team update: Greece beat Finland 3-0 last time, and the last two matches have been successful, and the overall performance is remarkable.
Greece have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches in all competitions, and the team's defensive strength should not be underestimated.
Greece have scored 11 goals in the last five games, and the team has played very strongly in attack.
Greece have won 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5 away games, and the team's recent away performance is not very ideal.
Recent all-time meetings between the two teams: the two sides have met a total of 4 times, with Greece unbeaten with 3 wins and 1 draw, and have a big advantage at the psychological level of the battle.
The same handicap aspect: Initial handicap: the home team draws, the home team has the same handicap trend in the last 6 games as this game: win, lose, lose, win, win,
Greece
Pre-Match Briefing:
Can Ireland get back on winning ways in this week's crucial Nations League B2 tie with Greece? Or will the "Blue and White" continue to dominate the showdown with the "Green Army"?
After losing 2-0 at home to England last Saturday, · Hadgrímsson will have to mobilise his Ireland squad to take on current group leaders Greece. Ireland did not perform well against England and the head coach recognises this and he wants to see a reaction in this game.
Captain Seamus · Coleman remains to be available and the Everton veteran appears to have injured his ankle or Achilles tendon against England and was out of action. This could force Ireland to make personnel or formation changes as they must win this game to remain competitive in this difficult group.
However, it was not easy for Ireland as Greece put in an excellent performance in their opening game, winning 3-0 against Finland. Head coach Ivan · Jovanovic have been very pleased with the team's performance, having lost just one of Greece in their last seven matches, and he is confident that he will gain something from this one.
Fortis · Ioannidis shone against Finland, scoring two goals before being substituted in the 77th minute. The Panathinaikos player has been on a hot streak of late, scoring four goals in 12 appearances for his country.
A win for Greece would set the stage for two crucial matches against England, which could determine who will win the group.
Ireland are likely to go for a 4-2-3-1 formation with Jordan· Jordan, Trent· Alexander-Arnold, Mark · Guehi, Harry· Maguire, Levy· Colwill, Declan · Rice, Kobe · Mainu, Bukayo· Saka, Jake · Grealish, Anthony · Gordon and Harry · Kane.
Greece are likely to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation with the starting line-up of Lucas· Hradecki, Adam ·Starr, Altu· Hoskoning, Robert · Ivanov, Yere· Ulronin, Martí· Pertola, Urho· Nisilla, Robin· Lord, Glenn · Kamara, Oliver· Antman and Joel · Pohjanpalo.
Ireland VS Greece
1. Strength analysis
- Ireland: -5 goal difference in the last 10 games (8 goals scored, 13 goals conceded)
- Greece: +17 goal difference in the last 10 games (22 goals scored, 5 goals conceded)
- Greece have an advantage of 2.2 goals in the absolute theoretical world.
2. State analysis
- Ireland have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring 5 points.
- Greece have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 points.
- The points gap is 6 points, which means that Greece has a clear advantage in form. Greece have been excellent in attack and defence, especially in defence, with four clean sheets in their last five games. Ireland, on the other hand, have been poor recently, failing to score in two consecutive games and have a porous defence.
3. Analysis of fighting spirit
- Ireland: After a 2-0 defeat to England in their last game, this game is in desperate need of defending honours at home.
- Greece: 3-0 win over Finland in the first game, morale is high, and as the away team also has the will to grab points.
- Both sides have a strong fighting spirit, but from the perspective of historical confrontation and state, Greece's fighting spirit has a greater advantage.
4. Asia Index Analysis
- The initial handicap is tied for the home team, and the water level is 0.75 for the home team and 0.93 for the away team.
- The current live handicap is a draw for the home team, with the water level at 0.95 for the home team and 0.88 for the away team.
- Early stage (6 September – 7 September): The Agency's initial support for the home team Ireland was more pronounced, and the home team had a low water level, indicating that they had a certain home advantage.
- Medium term (September 8-September 9): The market gradually turns to Greece, with the water level of the away team Greece continuing to fall and the home team water level rising, reflecting more money flowing into the direction of Greece.
- Live Market (10 September): The water level in Ireland has risen to a high, Greece has dropped to a low, and the consensus is that Greece can at least go unbeaten away from home, and may even win.
5. Institutional Bottom Line
- 胜：2.50 / 2.55 ≈ 0.98
- Draw: 3.10 / 2.80 ≈ 1.11
- 负：2.80 / 2.65 ≈ 1.06
- None of the values exceeded 1.2, indicating that all three outcomes were possible and the values were relatively close.
6. Analysis of the change of win, draw and loss trend
- At the beginning of the game, the water level of home wins and away wins was relatively close, and the market's expectations for both sides were relatively balanced. The home win rate is slightly higher than the away win rate, indicating that the agency believes that Ireland has some home field advantage, but it is not obvious. The index shows that the chances of home and away wins are relatively close, while the draw water level is on the high side, and the probability of a draw is considered low.
- The water level of the medium-term change is basically the same as that of the initial market, and the return rate has not changed. However, the draw level has been lowered, indicating a slight increase in market expectations for a draw. The index remained stable, indicating that market risk and institutional confidence did not fluctuate much.
- In the final intraday session, the home win level continued to rise to 2.87, indicating that the market's expectations for a home win for Ireland have further weakened. The away win level rebounded to 2.62, but the away win rate remained at a high level, indicating that the market still has high confidence in Greece. The draw level continues to decline, the draw win rate increases, and a draw becomes a more important possibility. The index tends to be balanced in the live market, with home wins, draws and away wins all remaining between 0.91 and 0.95, indicating that the institution is more cautious in controlling the risk of each outcome at the last minute and does not have an extreme bias towards one outcome over the other.
Win transaction data
7. Transaction data analysis
- Home win direction: Buyers have relatively low expectations for home wins, buyers have fewer listings, and home wins fluctuate in the range of 2.78 - 3.25, and the volume is small, which means that the market is generally not confident in Ireland's home win. From the chart of the transaction, the price of the home win fluctuated between 2.75 - 3.25, which indicates that although there is some funds to support the home win of Ireland, the overall market is not confident in the home win of Ireland, and the price increase indicates that the power to buy the home win is weakened.
- Draw direction: The buyer's listing in the tie is relatively close to the seller's listing amount, and there is a relatively concentrated transaction around 3.1, indicating that the market believes that the tie is a reasonable result. The move lower in the draw level shows that the market's support for the draw is increasing. The price of the draw was basically stable between 3.10 - 3.25 and did not show significant fluctuations. A large number of transactions are concentrated around 3.15, indicating that the market expects a more stable outcome for a draw.
- Away win direction: The away win direction has the most volume, and there are more funds in the range of 2.94, and the buyer's large hand transaction is more concentrated, which means that the market has a strong expectation of Greece winning. The away win price has gradually increased from 2.80 to around 3.0, especially since the recent price increase reflects the weakening of market expectations for Greece, but the overall turnover is still much higher than other options, indicating that the market's confidence in Greece's away win is still dominant.
Final lottery prediction suggestion: home -1 loss 0 to 1 1 to 1
Statement: I only provide pre-game information and China Sports Lottery and Beijing single game analysis and prediction, most of the data from the network collection, analysis is only a personal opinion for reference only, please buy a reasonable regular lottery.