Reduced salary national football three years out of the results? The truth may be more embarrassing than you think
First of all, I am in favor of salary cuts, the environment of Chinese football, players really should not take high salaries.
But my attitude is also very clear, China's football performance is poor, salary is not the main reason at all.
Some netizens are very optimistic, saying that as soon as the salary limit policy is issued, there will be more children playing football, and the football population will come up immediately, and even more that the results will be produced immediately in three years.
Is this true?
Their logic says that because of the high salary, the entry threshold is high, and many bad youth coaches ask for money, do not give money and do not let children play, resulting in children not daring to play football and unable to play football. Now that the salary is limited, such a person is unprofitable, he will not do it, and there is no threshold for children to play football. The football population will increase immediately.
This logic is fine, it does exist. But this problem is not the main reason for the poor performance of the national football team.
The so-called Golden Age of Chinese football probably began in 2010, when Evergrande began to enter football and start an arms race, raising the salaries of Chinese players to a false prosperity.
During this period, the performance of the Chinese national football team was very poor, so people attributed the failure of the national football team to high salaries.
But high salaries have always been a problem for Chinese football, and even for football all over the world.
The following text is excerpted from Beijing Entertainment News Published on December 9, 2003
"At present, the maximum annual salary of known A A players is between 5 million and 6 million, and the annual salaries of some of the remaining absolute main players such as Ma Mingyu, Yu Genwei, Li Xiaopeng, Qi Hong, Li Weifeng, Zhang Yuning and others have also reached or exceeded 2 million. In addition, some other main players in the team have a large difference in income due to different clubs, but generally speaking, the salary plus bonus of these players should also be between five or six hundred thousand and more than one million yuan, of course, like the Bayi team is a special situation. ”
In 2002 the average annual salary of the residents was 12422, and the highest player earned 483 times the average salary of the residents. The average annual income of a footballer is 130 times that of the average annual income per capita.
In the Jin Yuan era, domestic player Gao Lin had the highest salary, and it is said that he earned 25 million yuan a year. In 2016, the annual salary of residents was 67569 yuan, and Gao Lin was 370 times that of everyone. In 2016, the average salary of Chinese Super League players was 7 million, ranking first in the world, with a per capita net income of 54,000 in 2016, and the income of players was 129.62 times that of per capita income.
Comparing 2002 and 2016, the high salary in 2016 in the Jinyuan era is not as good as in 2002.
Whether admitted or not, this is a fact.
Another fact is that the national football team in 2002 is very strong, while the national football team in 2016 is very strong.
There are two pieces of information, first, high salaries are not inversely proportional to achievements, and second, the overall level of national football has declined too much.
Gao Lin once said such a paragraph, very rational, but also a sentence to break the essence of Chinese football, he said, "I make so much money because I am the top of this industry." Chinese players are better than I Gao Lin, if there are 100, 1000, the level of Chinese football will go up. If China has 1,000 Zheng Zhi and 10,000 Gao Lin, then Gao Lin is not worth a penny. ”
Indeed it is. In 2002, the players got a high salary because they were the strongest players in the country at that time. And Gao Lin they get a high salary, also because they are the strongest players in the same period.
The strongest get the highest salary, this logic is not problematic.
(In both periods, the salaries of Chinese players were much higher than those of Japanese and Korean players.)
We think so, if Gao Lin is also very strong, they lead the national football team to the World Cup, won the Asian Cup, will you think they are not worthy of high salaries?
No, when you see the results and the championships, you will ignore them and feel that they deserve it.
With grades, everything is easy to say. The main problem is that they are too good to play.
They're very good at this question we'll discuss later, and we'll discuss first who gave these players a high salary.
In the Jinyuan era, Evergrande was rich and powerful, and they followed the investment, resulting in a very hot ball market, so various sponsorships also followed with a large amount of investment, in 2014, the annual naming rights of the Chinese Super League were 150 million, and in 2018, it rose to 200 million.
It's a crazy time, right?
Around 2000, Chinese football was the craziest time for capital intervention, and at that time, there were 100 million naming rights, which was a very amazing cost.
We found that when capital intervened in the craziest, the players paid more. So why is capital frantically involved? Because it's profitable. Why is it profitable? Because the ball market is hot. Why is the ball market hot? Because the results are up.
Yes, because the results have come up, around 2000, the national team has the best results. Around 2014, the club achieved the best results, the Chinese Super League team was very competitive in the AFC Champions League, and even won the AFC Champions League twice, and the Chinese Super League ranked first in the AFC technical points for a long time.
Oh, and this year it dropped to tenth in Asia.
Capital is the smartest, the most profitable, it will intervene, otherwise you ask it to come and it will not come.
It is said that the best time for the national football team in recent years is the Lippi era, but you must not forget that Lippi spent 200 million yuan to invite. During this capital dividend period, the Football Association is also making a lot of money. Otherwise where did they get these two hundred million? Without this dividend period, without two hundred million, where is the Lippi era that makes you regret it.
By the way, when Milu was invited, the annual salary was also 3 million, and that time was also the most profitable time in the league.
Having said all this, you must have found the key to the problem here: the pursuit of capital profits is not false, but why is it that the national team has achieved outstanding results around 2000, and after 2014, the national team's results have become more and more miserable, and the club's results have been outstanding?
That's the whole thing.
The club's outstanding performance is because there are high-level foreign aid, driving domestic players, Evergrande that year, the domestic players in Sipg are basically international players, plus those high-level foreign aid, they can compete with the crowd in the AFC Champions League,
But without high-level foreign aid, what can they achieve in the AFC Champions League? According to the theory of some netizens, they can't work in the national team and play hard in the club to make money.
Without foreign aid, they have achieved nothing in the AFC Champions League. Looking at the domestic arena, in the 2017 FA Cup, the all-China class of SIPG faced the Chinese Second Division team Suzhou Dongwu, and fell behind the whole game, and wu Lei was absolutely equal in the last moment, and won through exaggerated 17 rounds of penalties.
They may not be able to contribute, but more importantly, it is because their level is so high.
Capital is not stupid, if Gao Lin is only a second-rate Player in China, he will not get so much salary.
This is indeed our sadness, and the Gao Lin, who we despise, are already our best players.
Why is the national football team so dish? The reasons are internal and external, the external reasons are very simple, other countries are making rapid progress, Japan and South Korea needless to say, South Korea has such a superstar as Son Heung-min, and Japan has three or four hundred people playing in Europe. Even Vietnam is on the rise.
Remember what Fan Zhiyi said, I don't want to lose to Vietnam, not because of how crazy he is, but because Vietnam is too far away from us in those years. In the last round of 12 against Vietnam, we played 2 games, the first of which we killed in the last minute, and the second we were walked 3-1 by the monkeys.
The gap is visible to the naked eye.
And the internal cause is the key. Because none of us play football. This also goes back to the discussion at the beginning, high salary is not the reason why we can't play well, none of us play football is.
Zhang Lu, the old man of Chinese football and the famous commentator, has the most say in this matter, and he talked about this topic in a program at the end of 2021, he said, "I still have the right to speak about talent breakage, because I have been engaged in youth (football) since 1980." So why do I say that the national team is not playing? I'm so sure it's because there's data to back it up. It was from 1990 when I did a survey across the country, 24 key cities of football. So how many teenagers were playing football all year round in China at that time? Ten thousand, only ten thousand. There are 24 key cities for football, and there is no other place to carry out football except for this key city. ”
"Then this situation lasted until 1996, 1997, and there was a wave of professionalism, when I was the general manager of the Guoan Club, and we started a football school, and we had a small climax. From 1997 onwards, in '97, in '98, in '99, and in 2000 there was no one again. After no one, from 2000 until 2015, the number of children who played football all year round in China was said to be 5,000. This was told to me by Feng Jianming, director of the Youth Department of the Chinese Football Association and later the director of the Campus Football Development Department. He always said ten thousand people, and he said, 'What ten thousand?' Five thousand people! ’”
"Japan is now based on 600,000 people playing football all year round, you say you go to play with people, you can't do the foundation. Now it is difficult to play Thailand and Vietnam, and vietnam has to have tens of thousands of people playing football. ”
At that time, another guest, Huang Jianxiang, added: "Vietnam is not tens of thousands of people, why do I say that we are worried about losing to Vietnam on the night of the Spring Festival?" Vietnam I tell you that the number of people who play football all year round in Vietnam is now 600,000! ”
The show was produced in December 2021, and Huang Jianxiang expressed deep concern about the national football team's match against Vietnam during the Spring Festival, and in February 22, the national football team really lost to Vietnam.
This is the current state of Chinese football.
Whether the current annual salary is sixty thousand, six hundred thousand, six million, or even sixty million, our talent reserve is only a few people, high salaries are also them, low salaries are also them.
As for what some netizens said, after the salary limit, you can change your results in three years, and the result will only make you more disappointed.
Three years later, the results are out, that is, the players who are about twenty-six or seventeen years old, so what are the abilities of the players who are now up and down the U23? At home, most of them can't play in the Chinese Super League. Internationally, their performance is much worse than that of men's football in the comparison of their peers.
The U23 national team, also known as the national Olympic team, has only participated in the Olympic Games once in history, yes, the Beijing Olympic Games. They drew 1 and lost 2 in the group stage, exited early and scored only 1 goal. Since then, they have never qualified in the Olympic qualifiers.
And in the U23 Asian Cup, they have never qualified from the group. 2014 was the first U23 Asian Cup, and the national Olympic team lost all three games in the group stage and the group was out.
In the 2016 U23 Asian Cup, the group stage lost three games and the group was out.
In the 2018 local U23 Asian Cup, this time finally won, but still lost 2 games, and finally won 1 win and 2 losses in the group stage, or out.
In the 2020 U23 Asian Cup, the group stage lost all three games again, and did not score a goal, 0 points and 0 goals out.
This group of players was abused by asian opponents of the same age, and you expect them to outperform their opponents in three years? Dream it.
They can't count on it, can they count on the national youth team, what if there are a few unborn geniuses?
So how did the national youth team, that is, the U19 national team, how to perform, the last time they participated in the World Youth Championships, or in 2005, after that, they failed to qualify for the World Youth Championship for 8 consecutive years.
Look at the Asian side,
In the 2006 Asian Youth Championship, the national youth won the 5th place,
2008 Asian Youth Championship, ranked 5th,
2010 Asian Youth Championship, stopped in the quarterfinals,
2012 Asian Youth Championship, bottom of the group,
2014 Asian Youth Championship, stopped in the quarterfinals,
2016 Asian Youth Championship, group stage 1 draw 2 losses, group bottom,
In the 2018 Asian Youth Championship, the group stage was 1 win and 2 losses, and the group was out
In the 2020 Asian Youth Championship, the qualifiers did not pass.
In the 2020 Asian Youth Championship qualifiers, only the group is second, according to the requirements of the event, the 4 groups with the best results in the group can also qualify. And we were the sixth in the second group. The second best performers in the group were Vietnam, Laos, Yemen and Cambodia.
That's a thousand-year-old Fish Belly Cambodia!
From the Chinese men's national football team, from the national team to the national Olympic team to the national youth team, it can be said that a generation is not as good as a generation, it can be said that it is getting worse and worse than the Asian opponents of the same age group, you think about the results in three years, I ask you what do you think?
The keyboard is casually tapped, right?
Oh, and the national junior team, that is, the 2004 U16 national team, look at their results. Coincidentally, their last time they played in the World Junior Championships was also in 2005, when they reached the quarterfinals. Since then, he has also not participated in the World Junior Championships.
In Asia,
2006 Asian Junior Championship, ranked 6th,
2008 Asian Junior Championship, ranked 9th,
2010 Asian Junior Championship, bottom of the group,
2012 Asian Junior Championship, group out,
2014 Asian Junior Championship, group out,
In the 2016 Asian Junior Championship, the qualifiers were eliminated,
In the 2018 Asian Junior Championship, the same qualifiers were eliminated,
In the 2020 Asian Junior Championship, we finally got the quota, but due to the postponement of the epidemic, it was directly cancelled later.
The national team has 4 echelons, all aspects of the backwards, what to take to produce results?
Looking at the success of the national Olympic team and the national youth team, we have reason to believe that in the next ten years, the results of the national football team will not improve.
And if you want to have results later, you must take the 2004 national junior team as a new starting point and slowly unfold it, of course, there is too much work to be done, and I will not discuss it here.
More than four thousand words are nothing more than to show that salary has never been the fundamental disease of Chinese football. Those netizens who don't watch the ball, they can only understand the salary, they stare at the salary, and blame everything on the salary, as if the salary limit can solve the problem.
The clamor that does not understand the ball is wrapped up in public opinion, which may also be another kind of sadness of Chinese football.