The women's volleyball Olympic qualification is still nine out of ten! Canada and the Netherlands choose 1 out of 2, and Hong Kong may return to the first place in Asia

Volleyball GoldenEye

2024-06-03 13:14Posted in Liaoning Sports Creators

The Chinese women's volleyball team ended the Hong Kong station with a record of 2 wins and 2 losses, although the world ranking slipped to seventh place, becoming the second in Asia, the outside world is quite pessimistic about the team's promotion to the Olympic Games, but in terms of actual conditions, the women's volleyball team is still qualified for the Paris Olympics, and the road to promotion is also bright.

At present, there are three teams competing with the Chinese women's volleyball team for the Olympic qualifying round, namely Japan, which is ranked sixth, the Netherlands, ranked ninth, and Canada, which is ranked tenth. China has 327.57 points, Japan 329.62 points, Netherlands 290.95 points, and Canada 288.74 points. China is 2.05 points behind Japan, 36.62 points ahead of the Netherlands and 38.83 points ahead of Canada.

According to the method given by the FIVB to qualify for the Olympics, the Chinese women's volleyball team has two ways to qualify, one is to compete with the Japanese team for the first place in Asia, and the other is to compete with the Netherlands and Canada in the world ranking, as long as they are ranked in the top ten before the competition. Whether it is competing for the Asian ranking or the world ranking, the Chinese women's volleyball team still has the upper hand.

Let's start with the Asian rankings. Although it is now 2.05 points behind Japan and second in Asia, it is actually at the same starting line, and a loss in one game can turn the situation around. China's four opponents against Hong Kong are Bulgaria, Germany, Turkey and Poland; Japan's opponents in the third week were South Korea, Canada, Serbia and the United States.

According to the points increase or decrease given by the FIVB, China will increase by 1.98 points against Bulgaria and Japan will increase by 1.01 points against South Korea, and the point gap between the two sides will be further narrowed to about 1 point. In the next three games, the Japanese team's opponents are strong, whether it is Canada, Serbia and the United States, Japan is not sure of winning; China has a good win rate against Germany, and Turkey and Poland are at the top of the rankings, and even if they deduct points, it is only a small number of points, so Hong Kong is more likely to return to the top spot in Asia.

Let's move on to the world rankings. If they don't overtake Japan, they will compete with Canada and the Netherlands for the world rankings, and they only need to squeeze one of them. Canada's rivals behind Italy, Japan, the Netherlands and France; The Netherlands faced Serbia, the United States, Canada and South Korea. Except for France and South Korea, which are weaker, the rest of the opponents are on the strong side, and if Canada and the Netherlands want to overtake China at the same time, they must be 3-0 in 4 games, and the Chinese women's volleyball team will lose to Germany and Bulgaria.

In addition, Canada and the Netherlands will have a direct dialogue in the third game, and Canada will have to compete with Japan for tickets in the second game. So in this case, it is still a sure thing for the Chinese women's volleyball team to qualify for the Olympics. The only uncertainty now is who will get the last ticket in Canada and the Netherlands.

Except for the last leg of the tournament, both teams had a weak opponent, France and Very Good, they both had two strong opponents, namely Italy, Japan, Serbia and the United States. If Canada can beat Japan, the promotion situation is very good; The Netherlands could also take the initiative if they could win against Serbia. But the third direct dialogue between Canada and the Netherlands is highly likely to determine the final ticket ownership.

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