In the pig market, after mid-May, the domestic pig price opened the trend of "soaring", due to the weak pressure of the stage of pig farm disease, the confidence of the market to copy the bottom turned stronger, the second breeding concentrated entry, the breeding end of the pig slaughter into the "break period", the group pig enterprises shrink the price, the north and south regions, the slaughterhouse successfully harvested the difficulty of the surge, in the Dragon Boat Festival under the good support, the pig price showed a "rocket" rising trend, the average price of three yuan pigs outside the country is 18.9 yuan / kg!
However, after the Dragon Boat Festival, the market "painting style mutation", pig prices rise stamina is insufficient, although, some group live pig enterprises occasionally shrink the mood of pulling up, but, due to poor consumption support, the group pig enterprises are difficult to cash, pig prices into a cycle of landslide and decline!
In the domestic hog contract market, from the latest data, the hog 2407 contract fell by 90 yuan, and the quotation fell to 16895 yuan/ton; The price of the live pig 2409 contract fell by 60 yuan, and the price was 17440 yuan/ton; The hog 2411 contract fell by 70 yuan, and the quotation fell to 17900 yuan/ton; The hog 2501 contract fell by 75 yuan, and the quotation fell to 17475 yuan / ton......
Since the hog contract is often the spot market's "forward-looking" for the prospect of pig prices, the price of the hog contract is lower, which inhibits the bullish sentiment of the spot market, in particular, the price of the hog 2407 contract is equivalent to the spot pig price of less than 17 yuan/kg, which further exacerbates the pessimism of the market!
Affected by this factor, the stage, the market to copy the bottom of the pig breeding further cautious, the enthusiasm of the second breeding column has decreased significantly, the impact on the circulation of the appropriate weight pig source has weakened, and the difficulty of slaughtering enterprises to successfully collect pigs has been reduced!
At the same time, in the southern region, there has been a weather process of excessive precipitation in many provinces and regions, which has increased the market's concern about the risk of disease, and some pig farms in the south have appeared suspected of "small non" phenomenon, which has intensified the market panic out of the slaughter! In the northern region, although the precipitation is average, the continuous high temperature weather is also easy to induce the phenomenon of concentrated "heat stress" in pig farms, and the pressure of biosecurity prevention at the breeding end has increased sharply, which also increases the enthusiasm of selling pigs in the market!
Nowadays, in the pig market, the support of the second breeding is insufficient, and the number of large pigs in the breeding end of the retail households, groups and secondary fattening has increased, and the supply level of live pigs has improved significantly! However, the level of consumption follow-up is relatively sluggish, due to the Dragon Boat Festival, the consumption inertia has fallen, the high temperature weather has further inhibited the enthusiasm of residents' pork consumption, the recovery of catering and tourism demand is slow, students have been on vacation, dine-in demand has decreased, the market has become stronger for the resistance of high-priced white strips, the purchase and sales of terminal white strips are sluggish, and there is a pressure of "leftovers" in many markets, and the operating rate of slaughterhouses is running at a low level!
Therefore, based on many factors in the market, the slaughtering enterprises adjusted the price of pigs, and on June 25, 2024, the price of foreign three-yuan pigs fell by 0.15 yuan/kg to 17.39 yuan/kg, and the north and south markets showed a comprehensive downward trend!
Judging from the feedback from the grassroots, in the short term, pig prices have fallen sharply, some group pig enterprises have the sentiment of shrinking and rising, and the second breed has the operation of entering the market at a low price, which may temporarily improve market sentiment, but due to insufficient consumption support, the risk of pig farm disease increases, and pig prices still have downward pressure! The market outlook pays attention to the changes in the rhythm of the group's pig enterprises and the changes in the mentality of the second breed after the pig price declines!
List of live pig prices in the north and south of the country on June 25:
| Tomorrow's pig price (for reference only) | |||||
| Drawing: Pig Friends Baba Unit: RMB/kg | |||||
| partition | Provinces and Cities | 6.25 | 6.24 | weight | Change |
| East | Shanghai | 18.1 | 18.3 | 128kg | 0.2 |
| Shandong | 17.5 | 17.8 | 128kg | 0.3 | |
| Anhui | 17.3 | 17.7 | 128kg | 0.4 | |
| chekiang | 18.1 | 18.3 | 128kg | 0.2 | |
| Jiangsu | 17.5 | 17.8 | 128kg | 0.3 | |
| Fujian | 18.1 | 18.4 | 128kg | 0.3 | |
| Central | Jiangxi | 17.6 | 17.85 | 128kg | 0.25 |
| Hubei | 17.2 | 17.45 | 128kg | 0.25 | |
| Henan | 17.3 | 17.5 | 128kg | 0.2 | |
| Hunan | 17.3 | 17.6 | 128kg | 0.3 | |
| South | Guangdong | 17.9 | 18.2 | 128kg | 0.3 |
| Guangxi | 17.25 | 17.45 | 128kg | 0.2 | |
| Hainan | 17.4 | 17.65 | 128kg | 0.25 | |
| North | Beijing | 17.6 | 17.7 | 128kg | 0.1 |
| Tianjin | 17.6 | 17.7 | 128kg | 0.1 | |
| Shanxi | 17.25 | 17.5 | 128kg | 0.25 | |
| Inner mongolia | 17.2 | 17.1 | 128Kg | 0.1 | |
| Hebei | 17.3 | 17.55 | 128kg | 0.25 | |
| northeast | Heilongjiang | 17.25 | 17.25 | 128kg | |
| 吉林 | 17.3 | 17.35 | 128kg | 0.05 | |
| Liaoning | 17.2 | 17.3 | 128kg | 0.1 | |
| northwest | Shaanxi | 17.35 | 17.65 | 128kg | 0.3 |
| Xinjiang | 17.1 | 17.25 | 128kG | 0.15 | |
| Gansu | 17.4 | 17.5 | 128kg | 0.1 | |
| southwest | Chongqing | 16.95 | 17.15 | 128kg | 0.2 |
| Sichuan | 17.15 | 17.3 | 128kg | 0.15 | |
| Yunnan | 16.6 | 16.8 | 128kg | 0.2 | |
| Guizhou | 16.75 | 16.95 | 128kg | 0.2 |