How much do vitamins really cost over the years? I believe it is difficult to give an answer, there are a few dollars a bottle of medicinal vitamins, there are dozens of hundreds of health vitamins, but the overall price is not high is the norm, but just recently the news of the price of vitamin D3 has risen, what should we think in the face of the price increase of vitamins?
Vitamin D3 soars by nearly 50% in a month
According to the 21st Century Business Herald, after the rising market price of Chinese herbal medicines, the news of price increase in the vitamin market has also come.
In recent years, the vitamin market has been sluggish, and prices have fallen to low levels several times. However, since the beginning of the year, vitamin prices have shown a gradual upward trend, especially since June, when prices have largely returned to the average level of previous years.
According to Baichuan Yingfu data, the average market price of vitamin D3 was 82 yuan/kg, an increase of 5.13% from the previous short period and an increase of 49.09% from the previous month. Vitamin D3 manufacturers continue to stop reporting, and the bullish sentiment of reluctance to sell in the dealer market is becoming stronger. At present, the dealer market price is more chaotic, but the overall bullish sentiment for the market outlook is higher, the attitude of reluctance to sell is strong, most of the current suspension of quotations, a small number of reference order prices rose to 80-85 yuan / kg, the actual market volume in the later period can rise with it, need to continue to wait and see. In the later stage, the manufacturer's quotation is bullish, and the dealer market is expected to adjust accordingly.
In the secondary market, affected by the recent price increase, vitamin concept stocks fluctuated and strengthened, among which Brother Technology, Zhejiang Medicine, Garden Biology, Minsheng Health once rose by more than 10%, and Xinhecheng, Jindawei, Zhenhua shares followed suit.
In addition, vitamin price data show that the price of water-soluble vitamin D3 in the garden biological feed reached 100 yuan/kg, and the price of feed-grade water-soluble vitamin D3 in Xinhecheng and Guobang was 95 yuan/kg. The quotation of feed-grade vitamin D3 such as Garden Biological, Xinhecheng and Guobang has also reached 90 yuan/kg.
2. What's going on with the price of vitamin D3 soaring?
Vitamin D3, a fat-soluble vitamin essential for humans and animals, has shown remarkable price fluctuations in the market in recent years. Especially in the last month, its price has soared by nearly 50%, which has not only aroused great concern in the market, but also has had a profound impact on related industries, what should we think about this?
First of all, the rise in the price of vitamin D3 is a typical supply and demand problem. In a market economy, the price of commodities is also determined by two major forces: supply and demand. When the demand for a good increases, while the supply is relatively fixed or grows slowly, the price will naturally rise. This is the case with vitamin D3, which continues to grow with the focus on health and the development of the poultry industry, but the increase in production capacity has not kept pace with the demand, resulting in a situation where demand exceeds supply, which in turn drives up prices.
Secondly, specifically, more than 80% of the downstream demand for vitamin D3 is used in the feed industry. With the improvement of people's living standards, the demand for meat products has increased, especially the demand for healthy and safe poultry products. This increase in demand has directly contributed to the development of the poultry farming industry. Especially in the third and fourth quarters of each year, there is usually an increase in poultry replenishment in preparation for the needs of the winter and festive markets. Therefore, the continuous improvement of downstream demand has further intensified the market demand for vitamin D3, and the contradiction between supply and demand has intensified, thus promoting the improvement of the prosperity of the vitamin D3 industry and the rise in prices.
Third, the rapid rise in the price of vitamin D3 reflects the improvement of the industry's prosperity. Behind the improvement of the industry's prosperity is the market's judgment on the trend of future demand growth for vitamin D3. However, this large price fluctuation is not conducive to the healthy development of the industry. On the one hand, the rapid rise in prices is due to the superimposed effect of market expectations and speculation, and such irrational price increases are often unsustainable, and once the market sentiment changes, prices may also fall sharply, bringing instability to the industry. On the other hand, the fluctuation of prices will affect the production decisions of enterprises, making it difficult for enterprises to make reasonable long-term planning, thus affecting the stable development of the entire industry.
Fourth, from a more macro perspective, the rise in vitamin D3 prices is a market signal that not only affects the actual product transaction, but may also have a profound impact on the capital market. The concentration of the vitamin D3 industry is high, and a few leading companies occupy a dominant position in the market. The increase in prices means that these companies will gain higher profit margins, which may attract more capital into the industry and further consolidate the dominant position of the leading companies. In this case, small businesses in the industry may face greater competitive pressure and may even be marginalized or eliminated. Therefore, the rise in prices will inevitably cause the capital market to readjust the value assessment of enterprises in the industry, which will then affect the overall pattern of the industry.