Guide
First of all, many people's so-called subjective trading, that is, they have not formed a trading system, or they want to do any opportunity, to put it bluntly, they are both greedy and lazy. Make a breakthrough today and make a pullback tomorrow, maybe one day you will stick to the fundamentals, so that trading without a system and plan is absolutely impossible!
The core point: Resonance is the best way to filter out good opportunities for the technocracy, and there is no one. It's not that filtration will find gold, but it's about reducing the time, effort, and wear and tear you spend inefficiently panning for gold in stone
body
Hello everyone, I have shared before, today I mainly share some trading ideas, I have spent a long time to realize, and it is not universal, please read it carefully.
First of all, I am not a master, I have a stable job, futures is a hobby, mainly do swings, the frequency of trading is low, and I have only won an excellence award in the futures competition. At present, I don't lose money, I earn less, and the trading method is resonance light position tracking, not looking at fundamentals. Fundamental approaches are also being tried, but are not profitable at the moment.
One, keep your own system
Let me first talk about a trading phenomenon, I know a lot of friends, the mode of trading is subjective trading, that is, what opportunity to do, such as soybean meal to increase the volume, the bottom out of the out, go long; The upward movement of the thread is resisted, forming a 1-hour head and shoulders, and going short.
I haven't seen any trader who makes money in this way of trading. I analyzed the reasons, first of all, many people's so-called subjective trading, that is, they have not formed a trading system, or they want to do any opportunity, to put it bluntly, they are both greedy and lazy, have you ever seen a temporary change of formation when you go into battle to kill the enemy? Make a breakthrough today and make a pullback tomorrow, maybe one day you will stick to the fundamentals, so that trading without a system and plan is absolutely impossible!
First, the system needs to be backtested or experimented to prove that it can be profitable, and the methods that come up with subjective ideas are all new methods, which is equivalent to countless unverified systems mixed together, and if you do it without verification, you are anxious, greedy, lazy, and it is impossible to make money;
Second, it is indeed not easy to form a system of fundamental cognition, but the bigwigs who make a lot of money are all tracked very thoroughly, and the four bigwigs of the futures, east, west, north and south, who are the four bigwigs who do this variety today and that variety tomorrow?
Third, if there is no verification, there is no confidence, if there is no confidence, it will swing, and if it is to send money at both ends, this is a psychological battle, and you will lose at the beginning;
Fourth, the system makes you forgo some opportunities that don't belong to you. The market is very strong, and the wind always gives to the trader who has the best sails, just hold your boat.
With the system, there will be no regret for not stepping on the empty and regretting for making a quilt cover.
Friends also said that subjective trading is to deal with the ever-changing market, the system is too rigid, lack of flexibility, the question is, what kind of ability do you have to deal with the ever-changing market flexibly? Isn't it supposed to be experienced, is it by feeling and cognition, when you encounter a certain situation, the cognition will be biased, inclined to the manifestation of events, which is enough to lead to extreme irrationality.
Second, resonance provides the best opportunity
This "best" is my best. I prefer the process of keeping the market, I have had the experience of doing full-time trading before, and it is very painful to take orders, and I can't help but want to flat. Later, I was afraid of loss, and I lost my self-confidence and went to work, which is good for my mentality if I don't look at the market.
When I see that I am losing money in order to stick to the plan, I will have the pleasure of masochism, and I will think: look at me losing again, but according to the rules, I can keep it at the moment, and I have outperformed 90% of traders, you see I am quite good!
To survive in the market, thanks to their own learning to give up, there is a little problem with the market, just give up, not to say that this is great wisdom, it should be considered very rational, the key is to be able to endure, a long time short position for traders is like a knife scraping the flesh of the heart, itchy incomparable, and then I think, itchy on the itch, pain is not afraid of me am still afraid of itching?
Resonance is one of the best ways to filter out good opportunities for technocracy. It's not that filtration will find gold, but it's about reducing the time, effort, and wear and tear you spend inefficiently panning for gold in stone.
For example, if I use weekly and daily resonance or look at the plate to do varieties, I can grind off the corners of small cycles or single varieties, reduce the number of transactions, and may lose a certain amplitude and swing opportunity, but the holding of large bands makes me very comfortable to take orders, and it is not easy to appear in a day or two to turn the signal, and even the system itself is numb, should it be done, it may turn tomorrow, and now chase in?
My resonance logic looks like this:
It is found that multiple varieties have a similar structure - it is found that there is a resonance trend in the plate - it is found that there is a structure in the corresponding outer disk - and the operation is operated when the profit and loss ratio is suitable for the variety.
The overall market of the vast majority of the general trend needs Sino-US resonance, and you may not believe that at this time, the commodity king crude oil will probably have a weekly structure!
Even if multiple sectors have a daily structure, it is difficult to sustain it, for example, how many days can the 10-day daily structure maintain the market? Maybe one or two large solid lines will go about the same, and there will be no oil and water after the trend is determined, and the shock will wear out, and in the end the analysis will be good, and no money will be made.
Third, the operation needs a ruler
When trying the fundamentals, there is a problem that has been bothering me, that is, how to take profit and stop loss. Fundamental operations ignore technical analysis, and determine the profit and loss ratio through the valuation of fundamentals, but if the valuation has been deteriorating, stop loss or increase positions? Stop loss is technical guidance fundamentals, and adding positions is not respecting the trend and will die.
I've been bothered by it for a long time, including technical analysis, there will be similar problems, there is a pullback to have a goal, there is a sideways to have a stop loss, what if the market has not rested? What should I do if I miss it? My deal is to go sideways against the trend, and pull back like homeopathy, if not, miss it.
I don't want the inertia to weaken or the price to be cheap, but to let the market form a ruler by itself, so that I can make a profit and loss ratio.
When the bottom appears, the long position is the previous low as the stop loss level; After the overshoot, the short, the pullback appears, and the previous high is the stop loss, which is very clear. If you are bullish and there is no sideways after the pullback, I don't do it, because the sideways has support, so it is good to set a stop loss (also do it when over-falling and stabilizing, and use indicators to determine the profit and loss ratio, which will not be introduced for the time being).
Intervening in a callback, or even doing it without a callback, is the reason why many people are killed by fluctuations. You can review it, no matter how bullish the market is, there is a pullback, and a very small number of crazy markets that have nothing to do with the moving average are exactly what you need to avoid, because there is no good profit and loss ratio, and if you go in, you will be cut.
So much to share, in summary, there are three points: objective system, resonance filtration, and natural profit and loss.
■The article is for reference only and does not represent the views of this platform and its institution, and you enter the market at your own risk. The futures market is risky, and investment needs to be cautious!