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Switzerland Bank raised new concerns about the economic field over the Trump shooting case, pointing out that the general direction of Trump and Biden's positions is actually the same, both are "pro-war" attitudes, which Orban's visit to the United States can prove the authenticity.
Hungary's EU presidency visited the United States to resolve the Russia-Ukraine dilemma, and the response from Biden was that no agreement could be reached on "promoting peace", while the other candidate, Trump, took a more radical attitude.
Therefore, Orban wrote in his letter of proposal that the November election in the United States will not bring any changes, and may even be more dangerous, and the EU should plan early, and this evaluation in the eyes of Switzerland naturally also represents the direction of the economic field.
As the world's largest economy, the United States has a non-negligible influence on international finance, but the economic dispute between China and the United States may lead to the blockage of international trade, and then the overall negative forecast will appear.
Therefore, Switzerland banks are more worried, now the Sino-US trade relationship has come to an embarrassing situation, before the semiconductor chip sanctions, after the electric car tariffs, plus Trump now shows a stronger boycott of China, can the trade environment be guaranteed?
As we all know, economic development does not mean that it only needs its own foundation, and in the case of China, it is also developed with the help of the WTO platform, supplemented by the trend of reform and opening up, and the world trade situation is biased towards peace.
However, if China and the United States want to further confront each other now, it is basically equivalent to a half-cut between the Asian and European markets, and many parties have entered a confrontational atmosphere of sanctions and sanctions, according to media analysis, Trump's re-inauguration will lead to a violent impact on China.
In the final analysis, Biden and Trump have stepped up their repressive attitude towards China in their speeches in many swing states for the sake of the campaign, but Trump has become more radical, and even caused dissatisfaction among Wall Street tycoons, asking him to ease his attitude and at least protect his basic interests.
In other words, Biden's toughness on China is at the level of both wants and wants, and through a certain degree of sanctions, he hopes that China can retreat and give in, while Trump is different, he directly pursues decoupling from China and asks China to follow the line drawn by the United States.
Although neither is a good attitude, but there are indeed light and heavy, such as electric vehicle tariff products, Trump once commented in a swing state campaign speech, saying that if it were him, he would directly increase the tariff on all products by 60%.
Of course, this has the impact of opposing Biden, but we should note that this is a campaign speech, which essentially represents the political views of the Trump team, that is, being tough on China, so does Trump need to complete these political speeches when he takes office?
The answer is yes, otherwise it will become a reason for the enemy party to attack, through the confrontation of criminal cases, Trump knows the power of public opinion, it is impossible to release such a weakness to the Democratic Party, it can be said that the Sino-US trade war is likely to be aggravated after he takes office.
Of course, the background to these concerns raised by Switzerland Bank is that the entire Republican Party in the United States is now immersed in emotional politics, packaging Trump as a "national hero", and voters are also being guided to think in the direction.
Take the local swing state election situation as an example, after this shooting, Trump's approval rating has risen by four percentage points, you know, the gap between the two sides was 1 or 2 percent before, and now a single assassination operation has indeed lost a big advantage.
The deployment of public opinion has also been completed, Biden is caught in the whirlpool of self-proof of his physical condition, Trump has changed from an "anti-establishment" to a "national fighter", and many media have begun to build momentum, saying that Trump is fighting for the American people.
For the US intelligence community, it is not too difficult to achieve this goal, and it can even maintain a relatively short period of enthusiasm, even if the mood of the people will gradually dissipate, what can Biden do with only a month left before the congress?
Therefore, during this time, the entire United States was immersed in a cry that "Trump will make United States great again", and if the Democrats could not come up with any suppressive methods, the election would be almost no suspense.
It's just that Biden, who is caught in the whirlpool of self-strife, still has this free time to arrange a deployment plan? Judging from Biden's physical condition and political thinking, it is already difficult for the Democratic Party to refute the Republican Party at the level of public opinion.
In the end, perhaps only the situation analyzed by the US media remains, and the political assassination has gained a corresponding advantage, which is not justified for the American people, but it can be considered, after all, one in ten American people support this idea.
Now that the Trump team is almost ready to make a victory declaration, there really isn't much time left for Biden, so Switzerland banks will conduct an economic analysis of Trump's presidency based on the greatest likelihood.
At the same time, Biden's established running mate, Vance, is a conservative who does not share the idea of economic globalization, in other words, Trump is already picking a team of political parties who share his political views, which exposes his true political direction.
After learning that he had been nominated, the Conservative party changed his political direction in an instant, openly criticized China's image, and said that if the United States did not crack down on China's development, it would be worrying about its future, and he had become a staunch anti-China element.
This makes Trump look at him with admiration, then, under this kind of combination of positive and deputy, the U.S. China policy is likely to continue to strengthen its repressive force, and at the same time, we look at the U.S. policy guidance in combination with the chip field.
After Trump declared that he would make China the primary target, Japan and Netherlands came under great pressure because they and China had cooperation in chip semiconductor technology, and then the United States proposed a bill.
That is, whenever US technology is used, the US should be allowed to control and deal with it, and this hegemonic thinking is nothing more than hegemonism that has changed the skin, and the strength of the US side has also caused the Wall Street stock market to begin to fall.
Investors in many countries believe that the change in US policy has led to a lack of confidence in foreign relations, and they are worried that if the general direction changes, all gains may become empty talk, and it is reported that some companies have begun to think about eliminating some United States products.
Because only by doing so can it be safer, otherwise if the United States suddenly imposes a sanction, the company's operation will be in trouble, which shows that the wind direction of Trump's imminent inauguration has affected the attitude of the Republican Party in the proposal.
Therefore, we must always be vigilant about the next move of the US side, especially in the period after the US election, if there is a major change in the international wind, we can also choose to respond according to the deployment, rather than being unprepared to fight this trade war.
Bibliography:
https://baijiahao.baidu.com/s?id=1804825410397275531&wfr=spider&for=pc (Observer.com)
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