Since the debacle in Ukraine in February this year, Zelensky has been constantly shouting to the United States: Give me food, give me equipment, and I will fight. However, in addition to Biden's verbal apology, only Zelensky is left "lovesick in the wind and rain".
So much so that a few days ago, after Iran counterattacked Israel, Zelensky directly broke the defense: the United States still has NATO, you support Israel so much, help it air defense, fight drones, let me ask, is Israel NATO?
Not to mention, sure enough, the joys and sorrows of life came too quickly, just today: the US House of Representatives voted 311 in favor, 112 against, and 1 abstention to pass the Ukraine-related part of a $95 billion foreign aid bill. This part of the bill will provide more than $60 billion in aid to Ukraine......
In other words, Zelensky is looking forward to US aid, and this time Ukraine took the lion's share of 60 billion. Now Zelensky is happy, and those who support Ukraine are also excited - but slowly, the editor feels that something is wrong.
One: Fish and bear's paws
As far as the United States is concerned, if Ukraine is a fish and Israel is a bear's paw, then from the analysis of the current situation, the United States cannot have both fish and bear's paws - there is no doubt about this, unless the bar is raised, but the author wants to remind that no matter who you support, you must not be emotionally impulsive, or don't raise the bar!
Therefore, the aid given to Ukraine does not mean that the United States wants to give up on Israel? I am afraid that no one will believe that in order to prevent Palestine from joining the United Nations, the United States has once again lit up a lonely and arrogant "lighthouse" at the United Nations to blind everyone's eyes. How can this be to abandon Israel?
As a result, there is a saying: this is the United States balancing, the so-called sugar that was given to Israel in the previous paragraph was too much, and now it is stuffed with a big piece of Ukraine in the past.
But the question is what is the state of the United States, what are its debts, they are all empty, and when the landlords' families have no surplus food, they still have to play these things? This is incredible, and the author and the reader cannot be emotional, let alone a country. It must be known that for the country, emotional use is taboo.
So could it be the United States, which wants to have the best of both worlds? In the author's opinion, the answer is no. At this point in time, the United States suddenly stopped fighting, no fighting, no fighting, magically unanimating opinions, and giving aid to Ukraine, which is an abnormal thing, the so-called abnormal is a demon!
The author's judgment is very simple: the escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (which will break out into large-scale fighting) is imminent, and if it does not receive US assistance, Ukraine will quickly collapse and cannot withstand it.
To put it bluntly: Putin's reversal in Ukraine is about to start on a large scale, and in order for Ukraine to withstand and fulfill its promise of "fighting to the last Ukrainian", the United States must provide aid and blood transfusion.
This leads to the second question, does Putin, that is, Russia, still have to fight and push forward? How big is Putin's appetite?
Second, start with the Cuban Missile Crisis
When the Soviet Union was alive, the "Cuban Missile Crisis" broke out with the United States. The outbreak was due to the fact that the United States first deployed missiles in Turkey and Italy. The Soviet Union countered by deploying missiles in Cuba, and the crisis broke out.
In other words, the United States was the first to find trouble, and the Soviet Union was the last to counteract. However, the United States controlled the "loudspeaker of the lion's roar" and stubbornly named the incident that it provoked the "Cuban Missile Crisis," thus suddenly putting itself in the position of a "victim."
As a result, many people still think that the Soviet Union did the trouble. For example, some people asked: What is the Cuban Missile Crisis? Answer: When the Soviet Union deployed missiles in Cuba, the United States turned its face...... This is the university question of "naming", we also encountered it four years ago, but fortunately, this trick was useless in front of our family, and it was pushed back - no digression, the book is back to business.
With the Cuban Missile Crisis, and then looking at the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, according to a very popular saying: Ukraine is an independent country and is willing to join NATO, it is none of your business!
However, the problem is that after the "Cuban Missile Crisis" was put into practice, it was obviously not true. For example, if you say, "Yes, if people in Cuba are willing to use Soviet missiles, it's your business!"
Still according to the logic of the Cuban Missile Crisis, why can't Russia counter the United States like the Soviet Union? The answer is all known, and it can be summed up in one sentence: It has no strength, and it cannot achieve reciprocal countermeasures, so it can only shout "Axe Gang, I'll fight with you."
Therefore, the reason for the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is that Russia is surrounded by NATO, and if Ukraine joins NATO, Russia will only have the Far East behind it, which is a typical dead chess game. Therefore, if Russia wants to live, it must carry out "robbery" (Go terminology) here in Ukraine.
After understanding the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and looking at it now, although Russia has the advantage, the problem is that it is enough to just mention the four states in eastern Ukraine?
If you don't believe it, you can go around the globe, Russia is still besieged by NATO countries. That is: in the whole big chess game, Russia is still in a state of "robbery",
In this situation, Russia must push forward, and once it stops, the United States and NATO will immediately rearm to support Ukraine and then carry out counter-looting. How stupid does Russia have to be to give NATO this chance? Putin is not Yeltsin!
Therefore, Putin must contend with the NATO bloc and fight a victory, only in this way can he survive this "robbery", there is no second way to go - this is actually Russia's fate, or to repay the debt, to repay the debt of the young and naïve disintegration of the Soviet Union!
Understanding Russia's "robbery", and then looking at the United States, he is a chess game maker, since the debacle in Ukraine in February this year, Russia's preparations have basically been completed (Putin was elected), the conflict will start again, and the United States must support Ukraine no matter what.
Otherwise, in the next big war, Russia will easily break this chess game. If this is the case, the United States will be directly defeated by Russia, and the whole of Europe will be out of the control of the United States – which in turn leads to Europe.
Third: Europe's wishful thinking
The author has explained before why Macron is so clamoring to enter Ukraine, and if you don't know, you can turn to the previous article. In a nutshell: France and Germany are the spoilers. Because if you don't stir up the situation, European countries will be pushed up one by one and become one "Ukraine" after another.
Therefore, Europe's wishful thinking is to get the United States into the Middle East, to save Israel, and to fight Iran.
The United States has only two ways to defuse Europe's move, one is to send troops, and the other is to contribute money.
Either way, it is necessary to maintain its own control over the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
This is the second thing wrong with the 60 billion aid - you must know that in the next big war, Ukraine needs "skilled workers", professionally trained soldiers. Because after more than two years of attrition, Ukraine has reached a point of serious shortage of capable soldiers.
In this case, even if they are given more advanced equipment, how can the front-line soldiers fiddle with it? Still fighting? Hit a hammer! I think that if I just catch someone, I can pick up the guy and fight the Russian army, but I can't do it when I am cold!
Based on this judgment, the author believes that the 60 billion is not for Zelensky, but for NATO (European countries) "appearance fee". So-called, if the United States gives money, will it still send troops? No, if it sends troops, it will also be the Middle East! That's why I say that this is obviously wrong......