Ligue 1 2:45 Monaco VS Lille Pre-match intelligence gathering, sharing and analysis predictions

Monaco VS Lille

League: 2024-2025 France First Division (18 teams in total)

Ligue 1 2:45 Monaco VS Lille Venue: Stade Louis II Weather: Cloudy Temperature: 17°C~18°C

Monaco (home team) has 24 players, the whole team is worth €358.2m, 13 members of the national team, and the average age is 23.9 years:

Record in the last 6 games: 5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 21 goals scored in the last 10 games, 7 goals conceded, and 14 goal difference.

League Standing: 7 matches, 6 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 19 points, 1st place (upstream)

Home results: 6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses

Personnel situation: (main midfielder, team match) Denis Zakaria, (substitute central midfielder) Edan · Diop, (main centre-forward) Balogun Injured and unable to play.

Monaco's Correll and Balogun scored in the last game to help the team get three points and deserve a positive performance.

Team spirit: Monaco are currently at the top of the league table, and there is no doubt about the need for the team to consolidate their lead.

Team update: Monaco have been in better form this season, winning six and drawing one of their seven Ligue 1 games, remaining unbeaten and currently two points above Paris Saint-Germain and at the top of the table.

Monaco's offensive end has improved significantly, with only one clean sheet in the last 28 regular matches, and the average efficiency of 2.1 per game is also the top in Ligue 1.

Monaco's defense has been average recently, with only one clean sheet in the last seven games, and the clean sheet is against the low-quality Auxerre.

Monaco VS Lille

Lille (away) has 29 players, the team is worth €263.7m, 11 members of the national team, and the average age is 26.4 years:

Record in the last 6 games: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 15 goals scored in the last 10 games, 12 goals conceded, and 3 goal difference.

League Standings:7 games, 4 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 13 points, 5th place (middle and upper middle)

Away results: 4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses

Personnel: (main central defender) Umtiti, (main left-back) Ismaily, (main right-back) Thiago. Santos. Carvalho, Bentaleb, Ethan Mbappe· Haraldsson are injured and cannot play, and Andre Andre is suspended from playing.

Team spirit: Lille are currently fifth in the league and still need points to move up the table in order to reach the Champions League zone.

Team update: Lille beat Toulouse 2-1 at home last time out, making it three wins in a row in all competitions and morale is high.

Lille has poor stability away from home, losing 5 of their 6 away games this season, while losing only 1 of their 6 home games, and the home-and-away gap is still obvious.

Lille has a good ability to win and lose away from home, and all of the last 15 away games have been won and lost.

Lille have significantly increased their goals this season, scoring at least two goals in six of their seven Ligue 1 games, and all three of their last three games have started.

Recent historical meetings between the two teams: In the last five meetings between the two teams, Lille has won 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, and the past record is evenly divided.

In terms of the same handicap: Initial handicap: the home team concedes half a half/one goal, the home team has the same handicap trend in the last 6 games as this game: lose, lose, win, lose, win,

Monaco VS Lille

Pre-Match Briefing:

There are only three teams left in Ligue 1 that have yet to taste defeat this season, including the league leaders, who will be in action in this game.

Monaco's match against Lille will be played on October 18 at the Stade Louis II. Home team Monaco are currently top of the table with 19 points, while away team Lille are fifth with 13 points.

Monaco go into this clash following a 2-1 international break win over Rennes. It took Monaco just six minutes to open the scoring but were equalised just five minutes later. Monaco scored the second goal in the 22nd minute, which was enough for them to take all three points.

The win over Rennes means Monaco are unbeaten in nine competitive matches so far this season. They have won at home to Saint-Etienne, Le Havre and Montpellier in Ligue 1 and Auxerre away. In addition, Monaco also won at home to Barcelona in the Champions League, drew at home to Lens in Ligue 1 and drew away to Dinamo Zagreb in the Champions League.

The stats suggest that Monaco are unbeaten in 18 of their last 19 Ligue 1 matches. They have won seven of their last eight home matches and are unbeaten in their last 12 Ligue 1 home games against Lille.

Lille go into this clash following on from a 2-1 home win over Toulouse in the previous round of Ligue 1. Toulouse took the lead in the 39th minute and ended the first half 1-0. Lille improved in the second half, equalising in the 57th minute and scoring the winner in the 72nd minute.

A win over Toulouse means Lille are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. They won away at Le Havre in Ligue 1 and beat Real Madrid at home in the Champions League. Lille also played out a thrilling 3-3 draw at home to Strasbourg.

Trends show that Lille have had a decent run of form in Ligue 1 away from home, winning 4 of their last 5 away matches, scoring over 2.5 goals in each of those games.

Lille are expected to adopt an attacking approach, which could lead to over 2.5 goals in this game, with both sides expected to get on scoresheet.

Monaco are likely to go through a 4-2-3-1 formation and their starters are likely to include Philippe · Cohen, Van der Sensen, Thilo· Correr, Wilfried· Singo, Cayo· Enrique, Denis· Denis Denkaria, Lamin· Camara, Magnes· Akrius, Takumi Minamino, Alexander· Golovin and Brell · Embolo.

Lille manager Bruno · Genesio is facing the problem of multiple sidelines. The injury list includes Nabil · Bentaleb (heart problems), Thiago · Santos (torn cruciate ligament), Samuel · Umtiti (knee surgery), Ismaili (meniscus injury), Haakon · Arnal· Haraldsson (broken foot) and Ethan · Mbappe (torn thigh muscle).

Lille are expected to use a 4-2-3-1 formation and the starters are likely to include Lucas· Chevalier, Thomas · Meunier, Barford· Diakite, Alessandro· Ribeiro, Gabriel· Gudmundsson, Andre ·Gomez, Ayub· Bouadi, Aiden· Zhegrowa, Angel· Gomez, Osam· Sahravi and Jonathan· David.

Monaco VS Lille

1. Strength Analysis:

• Monaco: In the last 10 matches, Monaco have had a goal difference of 14 (21 goals scored and 7 goals conceded) Goal difference = 14
• Lille: Lille have had a goal difference of 3 goals in their last 10 matches (15 goals scored and 12 goals conceded) goal difference = 3
• Monaco have a 1.1 goal advantage in the absolute theoretical world.

2. State Analysis:

• Monaco: 5 wins and 1 draw in the last 6 matches, with a form rating of 16.
• Lille: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 6 games, with a form rating of 10.
• The difference in form between the two teams is 6 points, indicating that Monaco are in relatively good form.

3. Analysis of Fighting Spirit:

• Monaco are currently top of Ligue 1 and will need to consolidate their lead and be highly motivated.
• Lille are fifth, and although they are still far from the Champions League places, the team still has the motivation to compete for European qualification and has a strong fighting spirit.
• Both teams are very motivated, but Monaco are more focused on maintaining top spot, while Lille is more focused on a European spot.

4. Asia Index Analysis:

• In the initial handicap, the home team handicap is half a goal, and the water level is 0.94 for the home team and 0.87 for the away team.
• The current live handicap is a handicap for the home team with a water level of 0.90 for the home team and 0.91 for the away team.
• From the beginning of the handicap to the start of the game, the handicap remained basically stable, and it was still Monaco to handicap the hemisphere. In this range, there is no increase in the handicap (e.g. 0.75 goals), suggesting that the market does not have overwhelming support for Monaco. The handicap is maintained in the hemisphere, indicating that the market believes that Monaco has some advantages, but does not have the absolute strength to crush Lille.

5. Institutional Bottom Line:

• Win: 1.95/1.77 = 1.10
• Flat: 3.75/3.60 = 1.04
• Negative: 3.60/3.50 = 1.03
• All three values are lower than the institution's bottom line of 1.2, and there is no option to directly exclude, and the undefeated value is relatively low, which is more advantageous.

6. Handicap Fixing:

• According to the league rankings of Monaco and Lille, Monaco belongs to the upper tier of teams, while Lille belongs to the upper middle of the pack. According to the theoretical handicap calculation, Monaco should concede 0.75 goals to 1 goal at home, and the current handicap seems to be on the low side, which is a relatively conservative concession. The game had a low start, combined with Lille's recent poor away form, and the agency didn't seem entirely optimistic about a Monaco win, preferring more of a small win or a draw.

7. Analysis of the trend of wins, draws and losses

• At the beginning of the session, the home win level was low, indicating that the market had strong confidence in Monaco's victory. The high water mark for draws and away wins indicates that the expectations for these two outcomes are lower.
• When adjusting the return rate, the water level of home wins increased, and the water level of draw and away win fluctuated, indicating that the institution tried to attract more funds into home wins by raising the water level of home wins in the initial adjustment, and at the same time reduce the expectation of away wins.
• In the instant handicap, the home win level dropped, indicating that the institution's confidence in Monaco's victory had recovered before the game. The draw level has decreased, but there has not been a significant fluctuation, suggesting that the possibility of a draw still exists. The rise in the water level of away wins indicates that the market's confidence in Lille's away wins is low.

Home win transaction data

8. Transaction data analysis

• Home win: The current home win price of Monaco fluctuates in the range of 2.02-2.04, and the highest turnover level is 2.04, indicating that the market's confidence in Monaco's home win is more concentrated and there is a large influx of funds. Generally speaking, if the buyer's funds continue to accumulate in the lower price range (1.98-2.08) and there is no strong counterattack from the seller, it indicates that the market has strong confidence in Monaco's home victory. From the perspective of price and volume trends, Monaco's home win volume has gradually increased, and the price has remained relatively stable, which means that the home win expectation is relatively consistent, and there is no particularly obvious dispersion of funds. As a result, the confidence in the home win remains strong and it is expected that further funding may be attracted in the future.
• Draw: The price level of the draw is concentrated between 3.75-4.1, and the volume is relatively dispersed, mainly concentrated at 3.8. From the perspective of trading volume, although the capital investment of the draw is not as good as that of the home win, it is also more significant. This suggests that some of the money in the market is still anticipating a draw, and buyers are trying to find profit margins through higher prices. In addition, judging by the low volume of 3.75 and the concentrated volume of 3.8, the possibility of a draw result in the market is gradually being accepted and has some financial support.
• Away wins: Away wins are volatile and are currently in the 3.75-4.2 range. Although the market's confidence in Lille's victory is not as good as that of a home win and a draw, there is still a certain amount of money accumulated in the away win at the 4.1 price point, which indicates that some market investors want to win higher returns through high prices. However, the relatively low volume indicates that the overall funds are not optimistic about the possibility of a Lille away win. The most traded price of 4.1 means that the market expects Lille to be more conservative, and the market is not confident that Lille will win.
• In the price segment of the home win and draw, buyers are more aggressive in listing, especially around 2.04 for Monaco home wins, and buyers invest more. This suggests that more buyers expect Monaco to win the race and are willing to buy at a relatively low price.
• In contrast, Lille has a more conservative listing of sellers, indicating that sellers are less willing to accept low-priced wins. This means that the market is relatively cautious about the possibility of Lille winning, and sellers are not in a hurry to close at this price.

Final Lottery Prediction Suggestion: Home Win Two to One

Statement: I only provide pre-game information and China Sports Lottery and Beijing single game analysis and prediction, most of the data from the network collection, analysis is only a personal opinion for reference only, please buy a reasonable regular lottery.