Monaco vs Barcelona
Cup: 2024-2025 UEFA Europa League Champions Cup
UEFA Champions League 3:00 Monaco VS Barcelona Venue: Stade Louis II Weather: Occasional clouds Temperature: 20°C~21°C
Monaco (home team) has 24 players, the whole team is worth €339.2m, 11 members of the national team, average age 23.3 years, league: France First Division:
Record in the last 6 games:4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 17 goals scored in the last 10 games, 8 goals conceded, and 9 goal difference.
Last 10 home results: 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
Personnel situation: (main goalkeeper) Radoslav· Majiki, (substitute central midfielder) Edan· Diop are injured and cannot play.
Monaco boss Huttel made eight changes to his squad ahead of the international break against Lens and the same line-up against Lyon against Auxerre at the weekend, with more changes likely due to the number of players he has at his disposal.
Monaco could miss three players due to injury, but Lamine · Camara is expected to be available.
Team spirit: Monaco won 3-0 away at Barcelona in a friendly a month ago, and the team has a psychological advantage, and the home team will definitely be hoping to continue the winning streak and have plenty of fighting spirit.
Team update: Monaco are unbeaten in the new season, most recently beating AJ Auxerre 3-0. They are currently ranked 3rd in Ligue 1.
Monaco have won seven of their last nine matches against Spain and have a lot of experience against Spain.
Monaco have an excellent history in the Champions League, reaching one final and three semi-finals despite having only played nine times.
Monaco have conceded 1 goal in the last 5 games, an average of less than 1 goal per game, and the defensive performance is excellent.
Monaco vs Barcelona
Barcelona (away) has 26 players, the whole team is worth €875.5m, 16 members of the national team, the average age is 23.4 years old, the league: Spain First Division:
Record in the last 6 games: 5 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, 25 goals scored in the last 10 games, 13 goals conceded, and 12 goal difference.
Last 10 away results: 8 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses
Personnel situation: (main central defender) Ronald · Araujo, (main central defender) Andreas Christensen, (substitute midfielder) Mark ·Bernal, (main central midfielder) Gavi, (main central midfielder) Frankie · De Jong, (main central midfielder) Fermin · Lopez, (new signing) Daniel · Olmo Injured and unable to play.
Robert · Lewandowski has scored eight goals in the Champions League since joining Barcelona and has now scored a total of 94 goals in the Champions League.
Barcelona are likely to be missing at least eight players in their opening Champions League game with serious injuries.
Barcelona's Ferran · Torres looks set to replace injured Dani · Olmo.
Team spirit: Barcelona coach Hans Flick wants to lead Barcelona to even better results in the new season.
Team update: Barcelona have won all five games in the new season, scoring 17 goals and performing extremely well.
Barcelona have conceded 4 goals in the last 5 games, an average of less than 1 goal per game, and the defensive performance is excellent.
Barcelona have reached the quarter-finals only once since becoming European champions in 2015.
Recent all-time meetings between the two teams: The two sides have met 1 times in total, with Monaco having the upper hand with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses.
In terms of the same handicap: Initial handicap: The home team concedes half a half, and the home team has opened the same handicap trend in the past 6 games as this game: win lose win. The last 6 games of the away team have opened the same handicap trend as this game: win, lose, win, win, win.
Monaco vs Barcelona
Pre-Match Briefing:
The restructured Champions League for the 2024/25 season will bring fans plenty of exciting matches, and Monaco's clash with Barcelona is undoubtedly one of them, and this match is expected to be full of attacking firepower.
The match will be played on 19 September at the Louis II Stadium. Monaco are currently third in Ligue 1 with 10 points, while away Barcelona are top of La Liga with 15 points.
Monaco update: Monaco opened their account with just eight minutes of a 3-0 win away at Auxerre in Ligue 1 at the weekend, and doubled their lead in the 25th minute to take a 2-0 lead at half-time. In the 89th minute of the second half, Monaco scored the third goal to seal the victory.
The win means Monaco are unbeaten in four Ligue 1 matches this season. They started the season with a 1-0 home win over Saint-Etienne and then a 2-0 win over Lyon. The only points dropped came in a 1-1 home draw with Lens.
This is Monaco's first return to the Champions League since 2022, but the stats show they have failed to win their last four Champions League matches. Monaco have won just one of their last ten home Champions League matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 13 home Champions League matches.
Barcelona update: Barcelona thrashed Girona 4-1 away in La Liga on Sunday night, leading 4-0 in the first 64 minutes, with Girona netting a consolation goal in the 80th minute.
The win means Barcelona have won all five La Liga games this season. They beat Athletic Bilbao and Valladolid at home and Valencia and Rayo Vallecano away.
The stats show that Barcelona are unbeaten in three of their last four Champions League matches, but they have won just one of their last four away Champions League matches. Both sides have scored in Barcelona's last six Champions League matches, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last eight Champions League matches.
Monaco coach Adi · Hüttel will not be able to use two injured players: Edan · Diop (foot injury) and Radoslau · Majecki (sprained ankle). Monaco are expected to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation and the starting line-up is likely to include: Philip · Cohen, Wonderson, Thilo· Krel, Mohammed· Salisu, Kasum· Ouattara, Deni · Zakaria, Suguntu· Magasa, Magnes· Akelius, Alexandria · Golovin, Eliers· Ben· Segir and Breer· Embolo.
Barcelona coach Hans · Flick will face a number of injuries, including Frenki· Frenkie de Jong (Ankle Injury), Fermin · Lopes (Muscle Injury), Gavi (Cruciate Ligament Torn), Danny · Olmo (Muscle Injury), Ronald · Araujo (Hamstring Injury), Andreas· Andreas Christensen (Achilles tendon discomfort) and Mark ·Bernal (Cruciate Ligament Tornish). Gavi has returned to training but is not expected to play.
Barcelona are expected to play in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with possible starting line-ups including: Marc· Andre· Ter Stegen, Jules · Kounde, Paulo · Kubalsi, Inigo· Martinez, Alex· Balde, Marque· Casado, Pedri, Lamin· Yamal, Raphinha, Ferran· Torres and Robert · Lewandowski.
This game could be a challenge for Barcelona, who are also unbeaten this season.
Monaco vs Barcelona
1. Strength analysis
- Monaco: Last 10 games: 17 goals scored, 8 goals conceded, 9 goal difference.
- Barcelona: 25 goals scored, 13 goals conceded and 12 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
- Barcelona have a 0.3 goal advantage in the absolute theoretical world.
2. State analysis
- Monaco: In the last 6 games, 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with a score of 13 points. The main goalkeeper Majiki and substitute midfielder Diop are absent due to injury and have limited impact. The defensive performance is good, conceding only 1 goal in the last 5 games, and the defense is stable.
- Barcelona: 5 wins and 1 loss in the last 6 games, scoring 15 points. Barcelona have eight players absent due to injury, including a number of key centre-backs and midfielders such as Araujo, Andreas Christensen, Frenkie de Jong and Gavi. While the offense is still strong, the impact of injuries on the defensive end cannot be ignored.
- In terms of form, Barcelona are slightly better than Monaco, but injuries have affected the team's overall fighting power, especially in defence.
3. Analysis of fighting spirit
- Monaco: 3rd in Ligue 1, they have plenty of fighting spirit, especially psychologically. Monaco have some history in Europe and have excelled against Spain in the past (winning seven). They play at home and have a psychological advantage and will be hoping to extend their previous winning streak against Barca.
- Barcelona: Barcelona have a good record but have not performed well in the Champions League in recent years, reaching the quarter-finals only once. In this game, Barcelona coach Flick also hopes to lead the team to better results, but the team's injuries are more serious, which may affect the team's overall performance.
- Overall, Monaco is a little more aggressive, but Barcelona will not give up this game easily.
4. Asian Indices
- In the initial handicap, the home team conceded half a goal/one goal, and the water level was 0.90 for the home team and 0.94 for the away team.
- The current live handicap is a handicap for the home team, a goal and a water level of 1.03 for the home team and 0.90 for the away team.
- Changing perception of Barça: Barça's water level rose to 1.12 on 17 September when the water level fluctuated wildly, which usually represents a temporary fluctuation in market confidence in Barça, possibly due to squad news, injuries or other external factors affecting market sentiment. However, as time went on, Barcelona's water level recovered to 0.84-0.87, indicating that the market is still bullish on Barca's chances of winning after further digesting the information.
- Less fluctuating water levels in Monaco: Compared to Barcelona, the water level in Monaco fluctuates less overall, basically between 1.05-1.10. This suggests that the market believes that Monaco, despite having home advantage, may struggle to win this game outright, and is more likely to favor Barcelona to win the game or at least win the handicap.
5. Institutional Bottom Line
- 胜：3.90 / 3.85 ≈ 1.013
- Flat: 3.90 / 3.90 = 1.00
- 负：1.70 / 1.63 ≈ 1.043
- All values are below 1.2, there are no obvious exclusion options, and the values are relatively close.
6. Analysis of the change of win, draw and loss trend
- From the initial handicap to the instant handicap, the away win level continued to decline, and the institution's confidence in Barcelona's victory increased.
- The upward revision of the home win and draw level and the increase in the return rate indicate that the institution is trying to guide players to choose Monaco to win or draw, but judging from the change in index and win rate, the institution is not actually optimistic about the outcome of these results.
- Combined with the index and return rate, Barcelona have a significantly better chance of winning this game than the other results.
Win transaction data
7. Transaction data analysis
- The turnover of away wins is significantly higher, and most of the funds are concentrated around 1.78, which indicates that the market has a high level of confidence in Barca's victory, and the inflow of funds clearly supports Barça's victory. The concentration of large transactions in away wins indicates that both major funds and retail funds have a tendency to be optimistic about Barcelona to win. Barcelona's trading price has been declining and is now trading at 1.75, indicating a gradual increase in market confidence. Combined with the trading volume, it can be seen that the financial support of Kesheng is very strong, especially at the prices of 1.78 and 1.75, large amounts of funds continue to pour in, forming a strong support for Barcelona.
- The main win had a smaller turnover and the price gradually rose to 4.8, indicating that the market was skeptical of Monaco's victory. It can be inferred from the inflow of funds and the low turnover of the home win that the heat of the home win is not high, and the market as a whole is not optimistic about Monaco winning. The price action for the home win shows a gradual increase in prices since the opening of the market, suggesting that the market's confidence in a Monaco win is waning as the race approaches. The higher transaction price (4.8) further indicates that the main funds are not confident in Monaco's victory.
- The draw has the lowest turnover and the highest price level of 4.4, indicating that the market does not expect a draw strongly, and more money is concentrated in home and away wins. The price of a draw has always remained at a high level, close to 4.5, which means that the market has a lower expectation of a draw and less money invested.
- Judging from the volume and price changes, away wins are the mainstream choice in the market, and the market has low expectations for Monaco's victory, and the possibility of a draw is not favorable. The main funds are concentrated in the direction of away wins, and the market expects that Barcelona has a high probability of winning this game.
Final lottery prediction suggestion: away win 0 to one
Statement: I only provide pre-game information and China Sports Lottery and Beijing single game analysis and prediction, most of the data from the network collection, analysis is only a personal opinion for reference only, please buy a reasonable regular lottery.