Focus on the daily practical operation of the A-share market, so that retail investors will not get lost! If you are not a long-term investor and want to survive in the A-share market, then you must understand that a careful layout plan can only have a good start, and strict trading discipline can bear fruitful fruits!
The general trend is judged to be that the A-share market fluctuated and fell on Thursday, and the trading volume was still only 620 billion. From a technical point of view, the market opened low and went low, and even the 5-day line did not break through, indicating that the entire market sentiment is extremely sluggish, and it will encounter a lot of selling pressure after a slight rebound. Judging from the disk, Wednesday was a large-scale general rise pattern, and Thursday became a large-scale general decline trend, and the performance of individual stocks was extremely weak. It can be judged from this that the probability that the A-share market will continue to fluctuate downward on Friday is greater, and even the risk of breaking a new low cannot be ruled out.
Disk tracking: On Thursday, stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen fell in a large area, and on Wednesday, on the contrary, 4,700 shares were loved, only 530 rose, and the market lost money very obviously. Judging from the rise and fall of the sector, the two cities only have banks, real estate and scenic spots tourism red plates, and the performance of heavyweight stocks is relatively strong, which is the result of the national team's protection. However, it is clear that the market as a whole is not interested in the rise of the heavyweights, so the broader market will close near the lowest point of the day. The SORA concept, which rose on Wednesday, once rushed higher by inertia on Thursday morning, and was also dragged down in the afternoon, but the decline was not large. On the list of decliners, lithography machines led the decline, and diet pills, home appliances, industrial metals, flying cars, photovoltaic cells, etc. performed weakly.
News tracking: 1. The central bank made a speech on maintaining stability, gave full play to the role of the financial stability guarantee fund, and firmly guarded the bottom line of no systemic financial risks! This indicates that the high-level rescue efforts may be increased in the near future! 2. Europe's largest renewable energy producer curtails wind and solar expansion plans, which is bearish for the new energy sector!
Market funds: Although there was a shock pullback in the market on Thursday, and the trend was significantly lower than expected, the main willingness to buy the bottom should be clearer during the pullback. The main line of hot semiconductors and Internet of Vehicles institutions did not increase their positions when they fell, and if the institutions did not return for a period of time, then the sector had the risk of cooling. The AI corpus branch in the potential mainline AI model in the near future continued to be increased by institutions in small quantities on Thursday. If institutional funds continue to increase their positions when the sector index pulls back on Friday and next Monday, then the heat of the sector will increase significantly! For other data, please refer to tomorrow morning's "A-share fierce news".
【Operation Review】
Clearance operation: Western test test 301306, memory chip + commercial aerospace, clearance.
Position opening operation: None at this time.
Rebalancing results: Yields increased slightly on Thursday and continued to hit new highs! Since there is no plan to open a position on Wednesday, there are only two positions in hand. Considering that the performance of the broader market was weaker than expected, and there was a concern about the risk of making up for the fall, the western test test was handled at the flat level during the session. Longsys continued to hold the position and closed without a red close. The two holdings bucked the trend and went up, supporting the yield to turn red. After the position reduction, the position was reduced to 1%, covering only one sector of memory chips.
【Core Hot Spots and Stock Pool Adjustment】
Dial in hotspot: None yet.
Calling up the hotspot: None yet.
Transfer into individual stocks: Shanghai Belling 600171, memory chips. (Remember!) The news and capital side of individual stocks have reached the tracking conditions, but the technical side needs to further look for opportunities. ）
Recall of individual stocks: Fuman Micro 300671, advanced packaging, technology breaking. Tongfu Microelectronics 002156, advanced packaging, technology breaking. Aohong Electronics 605058, PCB, technical breakage.
【Core Hot Spots and Individual Stock Tracking】
Recent main line hot spots (a large number of institutions participated): Internet of Vehicles, after a single-day long yang rebound, there was a decline in the yin again, although it fell below the 5-day line support, but the technical form has not completely weakened. Advanced packaging, memory chips, photoresists, after a single-day rebound, fell again, the sector index returned to the weak area below the moving average, and if it continues to decline, it may enter a downward channel. PCB, after the rebound of the long yang, the yin retraced, but it is still in the moving average bundle, and it is the only plate that has not broken the trend among the four active branches of semiconductors.
Recent non-mainline hot spots (a small number of institutions participated, or no institutions participated): SORA concept, after Wednesday's rally, there was a surge on Thursday, but it was still in the overbought area above the 5-day line, and the probability of sideways shock or retracement of the 5-day line in the next few trading days is larger. During the retracement, if institutional funds continue to increase their positions, then the sector may be able to step on the 5-day line and become stronger again. AIPC, AI mobile phones, commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy and other active technology stocks in the early stage are all weakened again after a single-day rebound repaired the oversold gap on the 5-day line, and all were suppressed by the 5-day line on Thursday, and the situation is not very optimistic.
Stocks in the strong area: Polytechnic Guangke, Yum Intelligence, Sihui Fushi, Jin Baize, Mankun Technology, Longsys. The above-mentioned stocks are running above the 5-day line, and are not moving upwards away from the 5-day line to form a technical overbought, and are in a strong channel and the trend is stable.
Stocks in the change area: Xiongdi Technology, Genvict Technology, Suntak Technology. The above stocks are running between the 5-day line and the 10-day line, the 10-day line will not weaken if it is not broken, and the 5-day line can become stronger!
Stocks in the defensive area: Tongbao, Zhongfu Circuit, Deep Technology, Shanghai Belling, Yachuang Electronics, Xishi Testing, Wanrun Technology, Nanda Optoelectronics. The above stocks are adjusted to the 20-day line, 30-day line or 60-day line and other short-term key support levels, if the key moving average does not fall below, there is a rebound trend in the short term!
【Strategy & Planning】
Position management: The A-share market opened lower on Thursday and was still suppressed below the 5-day line throughout the day. According to the recent strategy, as long as the market is in the weak area below the 5-day line, the upper limit of the position should be controlled below 3%. At present, there is only 1 position in hand, so there is still room to increase the position on Friday. Based on the distribution of the sector of the holding stocks, as well as the recent performance of the main and non-main hot spots, the direction of adding positions can be the Internet of Vehicles or semiconductors.
Tracking target: Mingyang circuit 300739, PCB, in a falling state, the 30-day line does not break the layout by 10%. Shanghai Belling 600171, memory chips, in a state of decline, the 30-day line does not break the layout of 10%. If both shares meet the conditions, choose 1 of 2.
Position strategy: Longsys 301308, high performance + memory chips, medium-term position. (In case of a sharp rise in the position and the board is not closed, you can consider reducing the position or taking profit.) ）
This article is from Jingyang's financial self-media matrix, updated before 9 o'clock the night before each trading day, I hope you can keep abreast of the latest position adjustment direction of the main force through this article, as well as the coping strategy we should have. However, due to the rapid adjustment of positions in Jingyang, everyone should focus on learning ideas, and do not blindly follow the market!
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