I have to sigh that the international situation is changing rapidly. Some time ago, the first European brother also wanted to fire the first European sister; But in a blink of an eye, the first European brother was suffering, and the first European sister was snickering.
Who is the current European brother?
Scholz, don't be angry, judging from influence and governing experience, it has to be French President Emmanuel Macron.
Who is the current first sister in Europe?
After Aunt Merkel retired, the most powerful women in Europe were Italian Prime Minister Meloni and European Commission President von der Leyen.
But von der Leyen is clearly a little more powerful, after all, representing the European Union. The President of the European Commission, the equivalent of the Prime Minister of the European Union.
It is not groundless to say that the first European brother wants to fry the first European sister.
The reason why von der Leyen was able to take office 5 years ago was that there were two important promoters behind it, one was her old leader Merkel, and the other was Macron.
But von der Leyen's performance over the past five years has made Macron very dissatisfied.
Because she is sometimes more American than the United States, I feel that she is not like a European, but more like an American, always following the baton of the United States, which makes Germany and France stunned.
Just in March of this year, Macron publicly criticized von der Leyen: You are too politicized.
Macron put it this way: "The role of the President of the European Commission is to defend the interests of the whole, so it cannot be overly politicized. It is important to note that this is not the case at all with this outgoing Committee. ”
Macron is also said to have taken action to replace von der Leyen and communicate with leaders such as Meloni and Scholz.
Although von der Leyen is German, Scholz doesn't like her either. Don't forget, before the change of NATO secretary general, the United States once offered to propose that von der Leyen could do it, but Scholz resolutely opposed it.
But who knows, a European Parliament election will completely change the situation.
The biggest winner is the far-right bloc.
The biggest loser is Macron himself.
In a fit of rage, Macron announced that the French parliament would be dissolved and re-elected. This is considered a political gamble.
Von der Leyen reaped the benefits of the fisherman. The People's Party group she leads is still the largest party in the European Parliament, and although France and Germany are not very satisfied, von der Leyen's re-election has been decided.
Von der Leyen is laughing, Macron is boiling.
Judging from the current signs, Macron's "rush to the crown" is likely to end up being "Waterloo". Not only did it not strangle the far-right National Alliance in the cradle, but it sent the far-right to the government ahead of schedule.
Even if Macron does not resign, he will become a lame duck in advance.
Therefore, here in Paris, France, is in full swing preparing for the Olympics, and over there Macron is worried about the election.
In his latest move, Macron warned the French that if the far-right or far-left is brought to power, "it could lead to a civil war in France."
Is it really possible to have a civil war?
The president said that there was a civil war in Congress, and public opinion in France was also in an uproar.
The far-left Mélenchon bitterly criticized Macron's own policies that led to the "civil war" in France, such as the recent riots in New Caledonia, France's overseas possessions.
Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Rally (Rassemblement Nacional), said that Macron's words were too biased and showed that "he thinks he lost this election".
Finally, what do you think?
Let's go three points.
First, the international situation is changing rapidly.
A month ago, Macron was still full of confidence that he would send troops to Ukraine, change the first sister in Europe, and have more guests in Normandy; A month later, the situation changed abruptly, and the first sister couldn't be replaced, but she was in danger.
The first brother in Europe, the majesty is no more.
In the past, we talked about "30 years in Hedong, 30 years in Hexi", and we felt that modern society was dazzling in fast forward, "3 months in Hedong, 3 months in Hexi".
Oh, and von der Leyen really has to thank Le Pen for such a situation, even though the two always look down on each other.
Second, politicians must not be too impulsive.
Macron has the virtues of Macron, passionate, energetic, and visionary; But one of the biggest drawbacks is being too impulsive.
The result of the impulsive election may be the opposite, not to force the far right back, but to allow the far right to come to power ahead of schedule and become a lame duck itself.
This is a copy of the Brexit referendum. At that time, Cameron was also full of confidence, thinking that the referendum would strengthen his position, but he knew that the result was the opposite, the magic box was opened, Brexit, chicken feathers, and he bowed down......
Impulsiveness is the devil, and impulsive politicians will regret it.
Third, three women in one play.
Now, the three strong women in the EU: first, von der Leyen of the EU; second, Meloni of Italy; Thirdly, Le Pen in France.
Each has its own characteristics. Speaking of which, von der Leyen is also a mother of 7 children, and it is indeed not easy to raise a baby in the European political arena at the same time.
Macron underestimated her. We can't dislike her and not value her.
It is also necessary to see that the extreme right wing in Europe is rising, the EU is tearing apart, and von der Leyen's position is not more stable, but actually more troublesome.
For von der Leyen, Le Pen dislikes her very much, and Italy's Meloni dislikes her even more. Don't look at the two of them hugging and hugging each other, like sisters, but as soon as they turned around, they scolded blood.
These three most powerful women in Europe are not good at stubble. Three women in one play, you see, the show is coming. (Cow playing the piano)