"If Zhao Yun replaces Guan Yu to guard Jingzhou, can he keep it?"
Speaking of this, I have always had a doubt. That is, Mr. Luo Guanzhong, the author of the novel "Romance of the Three Kingdoms", praised Zhuge Liang's talent with great glitz, saying that he was "astrologer, geography, zhongtong, yin and yang gossip, unpredictable gods" and so on.
But it was such an almost mythical figure that when the army entered western Sichuan, he made a fatal fundamental strategic mistake, that is, the problem of sending Guan Yu to guard Jingzhou.
If Zhuge Liang didn't know much about Guan Yu's personality before, he could barely make sense of it. However, after two things happened, Zhuge Liang, as the commander of the Shu state, still insisted that Guan Yu continue to defend Jingzhou, and he could not say it. Which two things?
The first thing was to hear that the third brother Zhang Fei and Ma Chao fought hard, and finally Ma Chao surrendered to Western Shu. Some people said how powerful Ma Chao was, and Guan Yu was not happy. Guan Yu intends to abandon the duties of the Jingzhou town guard and go to Xichuan to fight Ma Chao to see if Ma Chao is strong or himself. Guan Yu once exaggerated his bravery and invincibility in front of Cao Cao, "taking the first rank of general in the Ten Thousand Horse Army, such as probing the bag to take things", so that Cao Cao's generals would see Zhang Fei carefully in the future. But Ma Chao fought Zhang Fei and played a draw, and Guan Yu disobeyed Ma Chao. Obviously, when he first praised his third brother Zhang Fei in front of Cao Cao, he was also a bit hypocritical, and he was suspected of exaggerating himself by exaggerating fei.
The second thing, I heard that the eldest brother had divided the five tiger generals in Western Shu, and there was a veteran general Huang Zhong, and Guan Yu was not pleased. It is said that Zhang Fei and Zhao Yun are my brothers, Meng Qi (Ma Chao) was once the commander of Xiliang, and the five tiger generals are all right, only this "old man" Huang Zhong is not worthy to be with him. That is to say, he simply looked down on the veteran Huang Zhong. He may have forgotten so quickly that he was in his prime, and he had not had the upper hand in the recent battle with the veteran general Huang Zhong. Why did Guan Yu look down on Huang Zhong?
Any reader who has a little brain, every time he sees these two things, will worry that Guan Yu will not be able to defend Jingzhou, thus threatening the fate of Western Shu. When Zhuge Liang, as the commander of Western Shu, heard about these two events, he only let go of these knots in his heart by degrading others (Zhang Fei, Ma Chao, and Huang Zhong) in order to make Guan Yu happy. That is to say, in Zhuge Liang's view, Guan Yu's two things are not a thing at all. Instead of keenly anticipating that a person like Guan Yu, who was arrogant, arrogant, uninformed, and narrow-minded, simply could not defend Jingzhou and take on the important responsibility of the eastern gate of Western Shu.
We know that the commander of Zhenshou Jingzhou had two major responsibilities, one was: East" and "Eastern Wu", and the other was: Northern "resistance" cao Cao. What does that mean? Although Western Shu and Eastern Wu were allies, they had the embarrassing problem of "borrowing Jingzhou", so they had to be superficially harmonious with Eastern Wu and play "Tai Chi". But there was a purpose, and Eastern Wu could not turn the other cheek. The north "resisted" Cao Cao, which is easy to understand, that is, soldiers came to block and water came to cover up.
Guan Yu's arrogant personality, his temper that ignited the fire, and the arrogance of no one in his eyes were obviously not up to such a heavy responsibility as the jingzhou town guard.
Let's go back to the question of whether Zhao Yun can hold Jingzhou now. Personally, I don't think history can be assumed, nor is there an if. There is no rehearsal in life, every day is live broadcast. The same is true of history. However, if Zhao Yun was sent to Zhenshou Jingzhou, at least he would not fall out with Eastern Wu in a short period of time, and it would be impossible for Guan Yu to burst out such a foul language as "Inuyasha can match the tiger girl" to Sun Quan. In the end, Sun Quan was furious, and finally tore up the contract of Sun Liu's alliance and made up his mind to retake Jingzhou by force. In the end, an allusion to the careless loss of Jingzhou was left. Was the loss of Jingzhou really caused by carelessness? This question may only be answered by the late Mr. Zhuge Liang.
If Zhao Yun went to guard Jingzhou, the two tasks of "Northern Resistance against Cao Cao, Eastern and Eastern Wu" could be completed. Even if Zhao Yun could not defend Jingzhou, he could at least delay it for a few years, give the newly established Western Shu a full respite, and when the strength of the Western Shu recovered somewhat, at that time, it was impossible to predict whether history would be rewritten.