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Preface
Nowadays, high-speed rail has become a beautiful business card for China to go overseas, and many countries have proved to the world that taking China's high-speed rail is equivalent to taking a "free ride" with China's high-speed development.
Not long ago, the Vietnamese prime minister visited Dalian, participated in the World Economic Forum, and expressed the hope that China can help Vietnam build high-speed rail at the technical level, and even hope that China can transfer high-speed rail technology free of charge.
What's going on? Why would Vietnam have the audacity to make such a request to the mainland?
It is hoped that China will help build Vietnam's version of the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway
Some time ago, Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh attended the World Economic Forum held in Dalian and expressed the hope that China can help Vietnam develop a high-speed railway network and promote the development of trade between the two countries.
In addition to hoping that China can help build a railway across the Sino-Vietnamese border, the Vietnamese prime minister also made further requests to the mainland, hoping that the mainland can help Vietnam build a Vietnamese version of the "Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway."
This railway, the Hanoi-Ho Chi Minh City high-speed rail project, is very important for Vietnam's economic development to build a high-speed railway connecting the north and the south on a narrow stretch of land.
Information sources:
"China's railway industry is the most developed in the world, Vietnam hopes to learn from advanced experience", 2024-04-01
Due to the peculiarity of Vietnam's territory, it is often jokingly referred to as "one flat shoulder and two baskets", and the narrow mountain range in the middle separates the north and south of Vietnam, and the communication between Hanoi, the capital of the north, and Ho Chi Minh City, the economic center of the south, is also extremely difficult.
The construction of a high-speed railway connecting the north and the south is an urgent task for Vietnam's future economic development, and Vietnam has also sought help from many countries for this purpose.
However, the construction of a high-speed railway running from north to south can be imagined to be difficult to build a high-speed railway that runs through the north and south with a total length of more than 1,500 kilometers through the narrow mountains of central Vietnam, and countless tunnels must be opened along the way.
What's more, Vietnam has followed the example of the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway, which also runs north and south on the mainland, and wants to use China's high-speed rail benchmark as a template to set the speed of the high-speed railway of Vietnam's north-south railway at 350 kilometers per hour, which is an impossible task for Vietnam.
For Vietnam, where the speed of domestic railways has generally been less than 50 kilometers per hour, it is very likely that it has been wishful thinking from the beginning, hoping to get help from foreign countries.
What greedy Vietnam wants is actually high-speed rail technology
However, Vietnam, which is greedy enough to swallow elephants, wants far more than just hoping that China will help build this difficult north-south railway, but also wants China's advanced high-speed rail technology.
As early as the end of March this year, Vietnam's Minister of Planning and Investment Nguyen Chi Dung visited China and praised China's advanced high-speed rail technology, hoping that China could help Vietnam build a north-south railway.
Previously, Vietnam has repeatedly said that it hopes to learn from China's high-speed rail construction experience, try to learn the world's most developed high-speed rail technology from China's railway industry, and plan to learn from the experience of fund mobilization and project management.
Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh, who recently visited China, also said that Vietnam hopes that China can assist in the design and construction of railways and technology transfer.
Information sources:
Reference news: "Vietnam hopes that China will help develop high-speed rail"2024-06-28
As for the return of high-speed rail technology transfer, Vietnam's commitment is only to provide assistance to Chinese companies in the construction of high-speed rail in Vietnam.
In fact, the local government should have borne the burden of cumbersome land demolition and resettlement work, and what Vietnam really wants is that China can transfer high-speed rail technology to Vietnam free of charge.
Why does Vietnam have such an idea that China will help Vietnam build a high-speed rail project?
China's high-speed rail helps Southeast Asia catch a "free ride" for development
The reason for this is that after years of development and progress, China has become the country with the most mature and advanced high-speed rail technology in the world, and China's high-speed rail has continued to achieve excellent results overseas in recent years.
Since the promotion of the Belt and Road Initiative, China's high-speed rail has frequently gone overseas to help many countries build high-speed rail projects, especially in Southeast Asia, many countries have successfully caught the high-speed development train of China's speed.
As the first Chinese high-speed railway to go overseas, the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed railway, which can reach a maximum speed of 350 kilometers per hour, not only helps Indonesia improve local transportation, but also injects new impetus into Indonesia's economic development.
The China-Laos Railway, which connects southwest China and Laos, not only promotes the economic and trade exchanges between the mainland and Laos, but also helps Laos open the door to the country.
Information sources:
Beijing News, "The Two-way Premiere of the China-Laos-Thailand-Malaysia Cross-border Railway Train in the New Land-Sea Corridor" 2024-06-27
Seeing this situation, Thailand has also vigorously promoted the cooperation project with China's high-speed railway, and wants to access the railway network built by China to develop and progress together.
In order to realize the construction of the China-Vietnam high-speed rail project as soon as possible, Vietnam has visited China many times in recent years to exchange the promotion of the high-speed rail project.
Whether or not to help Vietnam needs to be carefully considered
However, for China, whether to help Vietnam build high-speed railways still needs to be carefully considered, especially the North-South Railway, which spans more than 1,500 kilometers.
For this high-speed rail line, Vietnam's previous plan was to invest nearly 70 billion US dollars to achieve two-way traffic between passenger and freight traffic, which is so high that it is even close to 17% of Vietnam's annual GDP.
Vietnam, which cannot afford to build the high-speed railway, will only be able to build the high-speed railway by borrowing from other countries, and if China chooses to take on the project, it will have to pay a lot of money in advance, and it is unclear when the cost will be recovered.
Information sources:
Reference news "Foreign media: Vietnam asks Japan to assist in the construction of high-speed rail"2023-01-14
In addition, Vietnam did not choose to cooperate with China to build high-speed rail at first, but sought Japan's help, and only after Japan was closed to Japan did it try to lobby China to choose to take over.
For Vietnam, which pursues "bamboo diplomacy", in addition to considering whether the cooperation project can be carried out normally, it is also necessary to prepare in advance for the recurrence of the "farmer and snake" story.
After all, this country has had a precedent before that it has received aid from the mainland for many years, but in turn has used these aid supplies to attack China.
epilogue
Although the Vietnamese government, prime minister and other senior officials are eager to use China's help to build high-speed rail, China cannot transfer the high-speed rail technology that has been independently developed for many years.
Moreover, until now, Vietnam has not come up with a sincere plan for cooperation, and it should be carefully considered if it wants China to lose money and not necessarily make money.
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